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Everything posted by Commandant

  1. Courtesy http://habsprospects.hockeyhq.net/ Moncton Wildcats 3 Cape Breton Screaming Eagles 2 (Final) Morgan Ellis - one assist Drummondville Voltigeurs 3 Gatineau Olympiques 6 (Final) Archambault - one goal (3), one assist Blainville-Boisbriand Armada 4 Shawinigan Cataractes 3 (Final SO) (SO: 3-2) Bournival - one goal (10); also scored in the shootout. Bentley University 1 University of Michigan 5 (Final) Mac Bennett - one assist Greg Pateryn - one goal Air Force 3 University of North Dakota 4 (Final) Danny Kristo - two assists Mark MacMillan - one assist - First NCAA career point
  2. 2018 draft thread

    The article looks at the actual value of each pick from the last 15 years (not just those traded), and looking at trade value charts. The charts seem to undervalue the difference between picks at the top of the draft and overvalue the difference later.
  3. Permanent Trade Proposal Thread

    He hasn't been their GM for that long... but he's the GM now, and the moves he's been making like Keller and Chychrun look brilliant. That team is going to break through this year... they are coming around.... their last 40 games were amongst the best in the NHL... their first 40 last season were what did them in. The youth there is starting to get it, and Raanta is a really good goalie.
  4. 2018 World Championships Thread

    And USA Hockey has a new executive vice president. And it is this guy. http://www.cbc.ca/sports/hockey/vanbiesbrouck-resigns-from-ohl-team-after-racial-slur-1.368545 https://www.theglobeandmail.com/sports/slur-draws-stiffest-fine-ever/article1011750/
  5. Permanent Trade Proposal Thread

    Arizona, an organization GM'd by a guy who is all analytics, all the time, is not drafting Tkachuk.
  6. 2018 draft thread

    We have an article coming next week (I didn't want to release it on American long weekend). The math is pretty clear.... don't trade down with a top 3 pick. keep the pick and take the best player available. This is where the difference makers in the draft are located, and your chances of getting a difference maker (you'll still get a good player just not a difference maker) decline a lot with each later pic in the top 10. That said, at the end of the first round, its better to have 2 seconds. but in the top few picks, always pick as high as possible.
  7. Permanent Trade Proposal Thread

    Arizona isn't giving up Chychrun to move up 2 spots and take on an albatross contract..... even if you add a second rounder. Youre talking about a 20 year old defenceman who is already in their top 4. Already playing over 20 minutes a game.
  8. 2018 draft thread

    Remember that CS has seperate lists for European players and North American players (based on where they play, not where born) So Dahlin is ranked #1 by CS... and Svechnikov is also ranked #1 by CS
  9. After Kane's signing San Jose has 21 players signed for next season at 67.5 million in cap hit. they need to re-sign Hertl... lets say that's 4 million they need to re-sign Chris Tierney.... lets say thats 2 million. After their signings, that puts them at a 23 man roster... to sign another free agent means someone is going to the minors so that frees up.... 1 million. That puts them at 72.5 million With a rumoured cap of up to 82 million, I wouldn't take them out of the tavares sweepstakes yet. It wouldn't take much to trade hertl, or buy out Mikkel Boedker, or Paul Martin.... or trade Logan couture or Joe Pavelski (both are 6 million cap hits and UFA in 2019). If they have a chance at Tavares, and Tavares wants to sign.... .making the space to fit him is possible. There are a number of teams in that boat. If you have a chance at Tavares, you can find a way.
  10. A Mulligan! The One Trade You Would Undo

    Its also hard to determine "peak" without hindsight. Is a guy at his peak, or is he on an upward swing and still getting better. Thats easy to do in hindsight, hard to do in the moment.
  11. Permanent Trade Proposal Thread

    False. People have done research on these things ~50% of players do better in a contract year, then 2 years out. ~50% of players do better two years out from a contract, then they do in a contract year. The facts don't support the narratives.
  12. Permanent Trade Proposal Thread

    Pacioretty is considerably better than Nash right now. I consider that the absolute bare minimum and would want more to make the deal at the draft.
  13. Permanent Trade Proposal Thread

    The Rangers got a 1st round pick in the Nash deal, in addition to Spooner and the B prospect. Spooner > Moulson 1st round picks are even. and the 2nd vs the B prospect is about the same. I'm not sure how the Rangers did worse than what the Sabres got for Vanek.... and Vanek was younger, and scoring at a higher level than Nash.
  14. A Mulligan! The One Trade You Would Undo

    Ryder wasn't an unrestricted free agent. There was almost no talk of moving ryder in 2007. Souray I agree with. But Ryder is revisionist history. It didn't even become a consideration til a year later, the team was doing well but he was struggling and he was supposed to be part of the Hossa deal.
  15. Permanent Trade Proposal Thread

    Most players don't check out..... the narratives that its always just try a little harder, as if professionals aren't trying are exhausting.... The guy didn't even make the NHL, and was a middling minor league journeyman til one training camp he found himself on Tavares wing at the age of 28. I'm pretty sure it was all Tavares.
  16. Permanent Trade Proposal Thread

    Moulson was never good though. He was a product of Tavares. I think his career after being traded has proven that.
  17. Permanent Trade Proposal Thread

    the trade talk effected his game? seems like another narrative... But sure, right now he has a high value. If someone offers you a package that is a "high value" you trade him. No issue. What if no one offers you "high value", what then? Trade him for less cause you are scared his value might go down?
  18. Permanent Trade Proposal Thread

    Brian Burke is a stubborn asshole and that was 4 years ago? I think the last two years are far more illustrative of NHL deals than that is. Hanzal, Nash, E. Kane, Shattenkirk, etc....
  19. A Mulligan! The One Trade You Would Undo

    It depends on the era... the 60s and 70s Habs under pollock ripped off the league left and right.
  20. A Mulligan! The One Trade You Would Undo

    That same team has won trades too acquiring Muller was a win... switching him for Turgeon right before he declined was another win... trading Turgeon was a loss. acquiring Damphousse was a win acquiring Courtnall was a win... switching him for Bellows was another win. acquiring Bobby Smith was a win. acquiring Kovalev was a win - Rivet for Pacioretty and Gorges Team has good trades too, we just remember the bad ones more.
  21. Permanent Trade Proposal Thread

    You trade him when someone meets your price. Look what Rick Nash got as a rental.
  22. Permanent Trade Proposal Thread

    And what happened with Markov and Radulov is why other teams aren't holding cap space for very long past July 1st, and why you won't be able to trade Pacioretty for full value once that date passes. The number of suitors with cap space remaining will have drastically decreased as other teams execute their plan B, C, D, etc....
  23. A Mulligan! The One Trade You Would Undo

    Can i take back a draft pick. Can we draft Claude Giroux instead of David Fischer. Since we now have a #1 centre in 2009, it also means we no longer feel the pressure to make the Gomez trade.
  24. Permanent Trade Proposal Thread

    So your plan is to let the other teams spend their free agent money on july 1st and then trade him when the market is far more limited in terms of teams with the cap space to make the move? That sounds like a great idea.