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Link67

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Everything posted by Link67

  1. The Habs Need a Better Backup

    His stats down there are deceptive, he had a couple real stinkers that were destroying all his averages, however with that said, he is highly regarded as a goalie of the future. Lebrun nailed it on TSN when he said he is likely to go down the same road a guy like Cam Talbot did in NY with the Habs, he is a goalie of the future, just not our future, but we will and certainly should use him while he is still here. Not going to be able to convince this kid or his agent to agree to spend a good chunk of his prime years playing back up to Price, not while he and everyone else are starting to notice he is a potential NHL starter in a couple years.
  2. Come one man what do you expect, Auston Matthews playing in the swiss league at 18 type results? Ikonen is going to go through the typical growing and developing pains as an 18 year old transitioning into a men's pro league. Why not compare him to his peers as a class during the WJC, his summer in that department was very good, I am almost positive he will be very good again come December, that is what will truly matter. His progression in the pro league until he is 20 will also be what counts, not how he didn't dominate a men's league during his first 20 games. I remember what I saw from this kid during the summer tournament, and he was flat out sensational in some games, looked every bit the type of player who could be a solid NHLer in the not so distant future.
  3. Nov. 5, Habs vs Hawks, 7 PM

    Lindgren was simply awesome, he had a rough go for a bit in Laval but has quickly got himself back on the rails again. Really starting to enjoy the Drouin - Galchenyuk duo, It almost seems like Galchenyuk is trying elevate himself to Drouin's play out there and trying to make sure he does not get himself into a bottom 6 role again this year. that was a sweet play a long the boards for Drouin, who absolutely destroyed the Chicago D with his speed to finish it off with a beauty.
  4. HABS @ SENATORS, OCT 30

    I agree with the sentiment that he deserves more. I get he had a rough start this year but he seems to have shaken that off for multiple outings in a row now. He is producing and has been playing well for some time now, its about time he re-enters the top 6. I'd love to see him swap with Byron for a few games and give him a real look.
  5. The value of advanced stats

    as with any stat in sports, a smooth combination of knowledge of the game, and understanding of stats gives you the best results for evaluation. I used to not quite understand the impact of corsi and fenwick when it first was introduced, because it revolved around a certain way to play the game, and there were varying ways to play the game. Upon further study, I realized it was a stat that helped immensely in evaluating how well a team was playing the game in a way that yields the highest % of success. Of course there are exceptions, possession hockey seems to be the trend the last several years, it has the best chance to yield successful teams. Are there teams who can be successful playing dump and chase? sure, are there teams that can be successful playing the trap? sure, are they likely to be as successful on a percentage based study as teams who play possession hockey? Not likely. But if you were to combine the eye test with these stats, you could see that a team or player is still very good, who deviates from these stats, you can also see there are many teams and players who are successful when highly ranked by these stats. Weber is a prime example, He always ranks average or below average in corsi and fenwick, yet if you watch him play with a knowledgeable eye, you quickly determine he is a tremendously good Defenceman. The key factor here is he simply doesn't play the game in a way that suites the advanced stats themselves, but it is still a style of play that he performs extremely well. Because of how exceptional he is at playing defence the way he does, if you compare him to any other player who is simply good or average, but plays the same way, your eye test would determine, these Defencemen are not very good, your typical 5 - 7 guys. The same can be said the other way around, if you look at the top of the spectrum of the corsi/fenwick stats, you will find guys like Torey Krug, Colin Miller, Shattenkirk, and Justin Schultz all parked in the top 20. Are they top 20 D-men? No of course not, in fact they are just good top 4 D-men who can get the job done on a relatively good basis night after night, nothing tremendous about them at all. However they are all swimming along this advanced stat pool beside guys like Burns, Doughty, Ekblad, Faulk, Werenski, Hamilton, and Hedman, all top Defensemen for their teams, truly exceptional players. So you see, the point is there are exceptions to every rule, that is especially so in statistics. of course if you look at our team for instance, it looks like we should be the best team in the league according to the advanced stats, however if you combine it with the eye test, you quickly see we are highly inconsistent throughout a game and generally shoot ourselves in the foot because of it lately. We play the game the right way, generate everything we should be generating to create success, but because of certain pockets of time throughout a game where we are especially bad, we are blowing games left and right. We can be a corsi/fenwick dream team all we want for 48 min out of 60, but if in those 12 min we self destruct, it will not be grasped by an average/percentage system like advanced stats properly, hence, we are the exception presently. When you find a situation that falls out of the norms of stats and advanced stats, they are simply exceptions to the rule, it does not mean the statistic is grossly wrong and should not be used. It simply means there are exceptions, and it is easier to properly evaluate teams and players a like, by combining both, eye and paper to determine what you are truly looking at. And that my friends, always gets you the closest to reality than not. If all you do is look at the paper and the stats, you will never get it right, if all you do is watch the game, you will never find all the details that determine why a player is being successful or not.
  6. 2017-18 NHL Thread

    In my opinion, Radulov and Drouin trump Sergachev, if we had kept Markov instead of going after Alzner, Streit, and Hemsky, in the current state of things imagine how this would look instead of what we are seeing. Pacioretty - Drouin - Radulov Lehkonen - Danault - Galchenyuk Hudon - Plekanec - Gallagher Byron - McCarron - Shaw Markov - Weber Mete - Petry Schlemko - Benn Mete's revelation of a year has made the trade better for us than it was when it was even first announced, however because of the miss steps following all that, it could have still been even better, and instead its just a good trade I am glad we made, and not a Homerun that unquestionably made us better.
  7. Rebuild the right way

    Just wanted to say, When I scrolled by this thread, I found myself reading the title like Michel Therrien was saying it for some reason lol
  8. HABS @ ANAHEIM DUCKS OCTOBER 20TH @ 10 PM EST

    Don't say his name in these pitiful game threads!! Just don't! lol
  9. The Team.....

    No I am sorry, if this season ends up being a circus that sees us free falling for most of the year and the main issues stem from a defense he thought would be better, and a lack of elements while we sit around with 8 million in cap, then he must be fired, contract or not, this was his last season in my eyes to prove he could take this thing a step forward. Thus far it looks like the furthest thing from that, it had looked all along that it would be more of the same, sideways, type of year, but in fact it is starting to look more grim than that. He will not be sparred like he was while price was hurt, this is his team he put together and clamored about being better at the golf tournament that is faltering out there. This is his coach he put in place and trusted to make his pieces work, who is out there trying to get them playing 60 min the way he is asking them to. He has to own it, one way or another, Schlemko is the only piece of his vision that is missing out there, and we all know he will be a nice complimentary piece to add, but the furthest thing from what will right this ship.. So again, I insist, if this team can't be pushed forward with a few solid management moves in the coming weeks and redeem itself, along with its season, he should be removed at the end of the season. I have a hard time envisioning the first part of that outcome coming to fruition, which leaves me to believe this is likely his last season at the helm.
  10. The Team.....

    My exact thoughts as well. We should be a playoff team, should be battling it out with Tampa and Toronto for the division, But if MB is capable of building anything more than that, I would be as shocked as anyone. the team does not need a rebuild, it has 8 million in cap, solid pieces all over the place and lacks a few elements to take it to the next level. It doesn't seem that Bergevin knows how to take it out of this state, and we very likely need a new vision and plan to evolve it further, or else it will continue to regress little by little in the coming years until we have become nothing more than an opportunity that fizzled away. There is a 10% chance Bergevin starts making decision and moves to get this train rolling during the season, save his job, and get us looking like a formidable team. There is a 90% chance he is fired by the end of it, and a new regime takes a go with this team for a few years before deciding if we tear it all down or not. Those are my thoughts on this current state of things.
  11. HABS @ ANAHEIM DUCKS OCTOBER 20TH @ 10 PM EST

    Again, same story, different opponent.. We get the shots, we win the scoring chance battle, we win the possession battle, and lose the game pretty soundly by score. I am so confused as to what I am watching, they look like an AHL team squabbling about at times, and an absolute juggernaut at others. Aside from Weber and Mete, who are pretty solid and consistent since the start of the year, the rest of the D takes turns being brutal for periods or games at a time. in the last 5 or so games everyone from Petry to Benn has had a stretch where they are colossal failures out on the ice for a period or a game at a time. Alzner had his turn this game, looking terrible and shaken up shift after shift for about a 10 min stretch there. That kind of stuff from the bottom 4 Dmen cannot continue, Price allowed the goals tonight but he didn't look silly on any of them, he had knuckle pucks deflecting, cross crease tap ins, broken plays turn into deadly one timers all flying in past him. Our offense clearly lacks finish atm but it does seem to be something that can turn itself around rather quickly with a few snake bit guys getting the monkey off their back. This Defense though, aside from the top pair, needs to get its shit together, they need to get back to playing to their potential, all of them, because this whole "lets take turns being brutal and cost our team goals against" they have going on back there right now is killing us. Can we just have Markov back now? God that stupid decision is going to haunt us all year isn't it..
  12. Bergevin......

    I agree, at this point there is little a new GM can do to fix this, This team and its staff need to right the ship internally and if Bergevin can lend a hand with a solid transaction then great. But ultimately, if this team fails to make the playoffs or bows out in the first round again, you end it there. It has been long enough, and if there is no signs of taking steps forward then it is time to change the direction. That would give Bergevin his uncontested chance to save this season, and it would give his successor the chance to come in at the right time, come in through the door like a wind of change and have the ability to prepare for the draft, assess his roster, and plan his offseason of changes in his image and hopefully give this team a needed lift going into next season.
  13. Oct. 17, Habs vs Sharks, 10:30 PM

    So we replace a guy who has been struggling with his game since pre-season for a guy who was struggling with it even worse...
  14. Who's to blame when it comes to Galchenyuk?

    While I can certainly agree with that feeling it still seems like the bigger picture is effort, I think if Galchenyuk put forth a real effort most shifts towards the defensive side of the game as much as the offensive one, it would help him out a ton. Regardless if he makes the right defensive play, or decision in that moment, show the staff you are committed to the play with or without the puck. I feel like they could excuse his poor defensive execution, if he at least makes himself look hungry to retrieve the puck, look eager to prevent a play going back into our zone. A commitment to the defensive side of the game does not have to mean he will make the right choice defensively every time, but to show your coach and your team mates that you will take a real "Dog and Bone" approach to both sides of the puck, the rest can be worked around.
  15. Who's to blame when it comes to Galchenyuk?

    I thought after the showing He had in Toronto, Julien might want to fast track his re-entry into the top 9. It looks like Galchenyuk is going to have to string a few solid performances together to gain that favor. While I am not sold it is the best option, I am sold that the kid does not play the kind of hockey that thrives on a 4th line. I am under the impression the message being sent is his overall engagement and commitment on the ice is not adequate, and his skill alone will not be enough to earn him ice time if he can't couple it with a strong effort most shifts. With that said, I understand the need to have a guy conform to the effort levels required by the staff, I understand the need to have players understand getting by on skill alone is not how you get it done. I understand that Galchenyuk has struggled with ups and downs since his return from injury last season, His start to the season was poor, right from the start of pre-season. However, all things considered, if he has another good outing, production aside, and looks hungry out there, eager to make s**t happen on the ice, then I won't understand leaving him out of the top 6 any longer than that. 1. For his own ability to produce and get himself feeling good about his game again. For him to see if he works every shift he will be put in a position to be productive. 2. For the team's sake, and its ability to produce more offense while in its current dodgey state.
  16. I can see the sharks circling already... On a serious note, again the kid played a very good game, set up one, scored a beauty, was buzzing all night. Good to see Galchneyuk look engaged and possibly snap out of his funk, this is the type of game that could see him move back up the line up and continue on the momentum he has built for himself this game. Our top 2 Pairings looked pretty damn solid tonight, the bottom pair had its cringe moments though. Hudon and Mete continue to impress, They seem ready to take on big roles and maintain that going forward, Really liked the Plekanec line tonight. Once again, we are the better team on the ice, dominate stretches, outplay the opponent overall, and can't get her done in the end. In a game that was very winnable, Price was very average, a situation this team just doesn't have the ability to overcome. I like what I am seeing on the ice, but I am hating the results, patiently waiting for the law of average to return to its rightful position.
  17. I agree that it is certainly not a cup contender as it stands right now, and that is a problem. I am simply saying it is also not likely as bad as the results lately, and 1 goal per game offense, that 4 games is really just a silly sample size that can hold no real bearing, predictions or doomsday prophecies considered. If it is November 30th and the problems persist, the scoring is a dried up well, and the record hasn't gotten any better, then there would be more logic and less panic behind this crisis movement. It would be enough games, enough time, for this team show what it really has to offer, getting all worked up after 4 games, trying to act like you've seen enough, tear it all down, is illogical, and an overreaction.
  18. Who's to blame when it comes to Galchenyuk?

    Oh Yes because Galchenyuk's issues have only started 4 games ago right? Not the back half of last season, into this season at all, nope, never happened. he has only been a shell of himself for the last 4 games, you're right.
  19. Who's to blame when it comes to Galchenyuk?

    He has had his part to play in his troubles, he certainly seems to have taken the self-pitty, down on himself approach to his situation, on the ice anyway. However with that said, the situation was allowed to fester by Therrien and Bergevin, and Julien is seemingly managing Galchenyuk based on the only performances he has seen for himself behind the bench, which really aren't all that good. Knowing and understanding how to deal with a fragile player who is regressing in the face of this particular adversity is crucial, and was obviously botched. It has negatively compounded over time, I used to just think they just needed to accept he was going to play the game in a one dimensional way, much like many players do, and take his offense, and cross their fingers every shift on the defense. So we end up with a top 6 50+ point player who sucks at defense, is he the first? Nope. Is that scenario a heck of a lot better than the player we see now, who still sucks at defense, is no longer scoring, heck he is barely even turning in noticeable efforts. The snowball has reached a level now that his defensive play is not even the question anymore, it is his overall effort and commitment on the ice, he looks disinterested, disgruntled, and hardly ever looks menacing on the ice. We went from 30 goals to a PPG to what we see now in less than 2 year, in a situation that ridiculous, their are a lot of people to blame, and their needs to be a lot of looking in the mirror.
  20. It is literally impossible to continue out-shooting opponents, out-chancing them, and continuing to fire blanks game after game. This looks more to me like a mental hurdle, across many planes on this team, I see a lot of good things without the results, and I am not saying that in a Therrien way. Were getting up the ice, we're pressuring, creating opportunities, and not getting the goals. We can go on until we're blue in the face about Puck Moving Dmen, but the straight truth is, you can't generate the shots and chances we are generating without being able to transition the puck from your zone to theirs. What we are seeing is a team playing well, dominating stretches of the games they have played except 1, and ultimately seeing the opposition score opportunistically while we are literally snake bit. What we are seeing is the Media and Fans a like, already judging this team based on 4 games out of 82. Now imagine if you take some of the best teams in the league the last 3 or 4 years, grabbed a sample size of their worst 5 game stretch during the season, and judged them as a team for it. How wrong do you think that judgment would be for all those teams I wonder? In what world is it even logical to make a judgment on a team after 4 games, in what world is it not Lunacy to shout abandon ship after a 4 game sample for any Hockey Club? This team could literally bust out of the pathetic statistical anomaly they find themselves in as pertaining to shots, scoring chances, and goals scored. We can open the flood gates suddenly, Price can suddenly steal a game or 2, and before you know it, we could easily end up back over .500 in less than 2 weeks and all this squaking about rebuilds and talentless rosters is exactly that, a whole lot of squaking and feathers flying, but not a whole lot of sense. It is way too early folks, take an advil and give it 2 months, then we can see what we really have to work with here. Even Chicago managed to look like the worst team in the league for a 4 game stretch last season...
  21. Amazing stuff right there
  22. Oct. 7, Habs vs Capitals, 7 PM

    I am referring to 2015 because you keep referring to him as a 30 goal scorer, and that would be the year he did it. I understand how productive he was before his injury, I understand what Kind of player he is when he is firing on all cylinders. Bottom line is he is not firing on all cylinders since training camp, bottom line is I don't believe he has earned through past performances, a golden ticket to remove Gallagher from the top line. Gallagher has also had very good past seasons, Gallagher is doing a job on the ice that neither Patches or Drouin would be doing, and certainly not Galchenyuk. So no, not only has Galchenyuk not played anywhere near well enough to bump Gallagher out of the top line RW spot, but on top of that, Gallagher has been playing some seriously solid hockey since training camp started, and does not deserve to be bumped off that line. one of 2 things need to happen for Galchenyuk to wind up on that top line RW spot, he needs to string together some solid outings, or the top line needs to go stagnant, only then would it make sense to make changes to it, and it would make sense to bring Galchenyuk in as the guy. And lets not forget the guy is playing a #1 PP unit role since the start, he is not just simply "stuck on a line" with Danault and Shaw. He is getting an opportunity to produce on the PP in a prominent way, and the only thing he is mustering up at the moment is invisibility both 5 on 5 and 5 on 4. You don't reward someone for that unless they sway you, or you become desperate, and at this point, none of those things have occurred, the top line is producing, no desperation there, and he has done anything but sway anyone so far.
  23. Oct. 7, Habs vs Capitals, 7 PM

    This isn't about teaching him a lesson, we don't have the luxury of teaching offensive players lessons for a whole season. This is about the Coach's message to the players, this is about merit, and right now based on how well Gallagher and Hudon are playing, and how not well Galchenyuk is playing, it would be an unfair message to either of the other guys to demote them in favor of giving Galchenyuk a piece of cheesecake for his troubles. He has to look good for at least a game or so to earn a swap, this way the other guys in the room can look at the situation like he has had a couple good games but can't get on the board lets see how he does on Line X. You really think trying to get Galchenyuk scoring like he did in 2015 is worth all the background muttering and questioning in the locker room? "Why the hell does this kid get to play up there instead of Gallagher, he hasn't done squat with his ice time, 4 min of PP a night isn't enough?" "Yea, what did Gallagher do other than be one of our best forwards so far to get bumped off that line, poor guy I bet he isn't too happy" those are the kinds of whispers and thoughts that would start bouncing around the locker room if we take the approach of keep giving Galchenyuk everything and anything, deserving or not, to try to get him producing, and screw the other guys. What makes you think Gallagher if healthy and playing like he is with who he is playing with can't score 30? Why is Galchenyuk's potential 30 goals more important than Gallagher's? We still have one that can score 30 up there, and right now Gallagher looks more hungry and more likely to do it. Galchenyuk has to earn it, plain and simple, he has to do the bare minimum to earn it. Because he has a history of being productive, it can be justified pretty quickly, but it cannot happen while he looks as disengaged and as disinterested as he looks now. He has to put together a couple good games of real noticeable solid efforts, production or not, he needs to have scoring opportunities, look hungry and determined, and then it is easy to slide him on a different line, there was merit to the attempt to get him going. There are 12 guys in that forward group who want the most ice time you can get and play with the best players you can play with, giving only one a bone every time regardless of merit will never sit well with them, and that is something that needs to be considered by any coach who wants to be taken seriously by his room.
  24. Oct. 7, Habs vs Capitals, 7 PM

    We can make excuses like these for the kid all we want, heck even I am tempted to fall into the same category about it as you. But when I take a moment and really think about what I watched today, I still saw Danault and Shaw being more in the game, trying to get things done than I did Galchenyuk. He was also the least visible of the 5 on the PP all night, how do I notice Hemsky more than Galchenyuk out there? When I put all this together, I quickly realize Galchenyuk is in a funk, he is not doing much to get out of it, and "penalizing" other players just to attempt to get him going, and I say attempt because even that is no guarantee, it really doesn't make any sense. What do you do tell Gallagher to bounce so Galchenyuk can get his game going? You tell Hudon to get off the Plekanec line so Galchenyuk can get in there? None of that seems fair or right, for a guy who has by his own accord, looked fairly invisible for 2 games. Can't blame your line mates for not being good enough if they are more noticeable than you nearly every shift, can't replace a player on another line who is playing better than you. He has to dust off the cobwebs and looks menacing and noticeable on his own for a game or 2 to at least earn an opportunity to move up the line up. Because right now the only swap I see coming is a swap with Byron if he continues this way,.
  25. Oct. 7, Habs vs Capitals, 7 PM

    Well, to begin, obviously a terrible game all around, some guys really stunk it up tonight. Streit, Benn, and Petry looked like ECHL players at times tonight. And when half your Defense looks that bad, and the other team is firing on all cylinders, you are in for one rough night. Although he is not responsible for the loss, Price did not look like he was in his grove tonight at all. Also noted some poor choices from the bench, Breaking up the Mete - Weber duo just resulted in both players being forced to play handicapped by partners who were literally shitting the bed nearly every shift. Leaving the lines intact even though nothing was happening was also mind boggling, the defense needed to be re arranged after about 4 min, and the offense needed a jump start with a few swaps. Bright spots tonight were far and few in between, but really liked Gallagher's game, and really enjoyed Weber's choke slam on Eller, and.....nope thats it.
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