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Peter Puck

Annual HabsWorld Regular Season Prediction Contest

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Peter Puck    4

  Its time for the

 

12th Annual HabsWorld regular season prediction contest.

Hall of Fame:

2006-2007 Jean won with a prediction of 92 points when the Habs finished the year with 90 pts. If only we could have won that last game.

2007-2008 Adirondack Bud exactly predicted our final total of 104 pts.

2008-2009 Zowpeb won by predicting a strong start followed by a slower 2nd half ending with 99 points. The Habs finished the season in 8th place with 93 points. On September 22, 2008 Zowpeb predicted "I think we'll see a rough patch just past the mid-year point..." Wow!

2009-2010 Joelassister correctly predicted the Habs would finish with 88 points.
Honourable mention to kaos who predicted a season record of 39-34-9 (87 pts) while the Habs finished 39-33-10.

2010-2011 Chips produced the all time best prediction. His preseason prediction of 44-30-8 for 96 pts 6th in the East, 14th in the NHL was exactly correct in every aspect. That amazing feat will be hard to duplicate.
Honourable mentions went to Seb whose excellent prediction of 44-30-8 for 96 pts. 5th in east, 13th in NHL came up just short; and to Peter Puck who also correctly predicted the Habs would finish with 96 points.

2011-2012 sakiqc
Our fearless leader won with his prediction of 37-34-11 for 85 points. The Habs record was 31-35-16 for 78 points.
Honourable mention went to Habsfan who correctly predicted that the Habs would score 212 goals.

2012-2013 illWill won by predicting the Habs would finish with a record of 27-16-5 for 59 points.
The Habs finished 29-14-5 for 63 points.
Honourable mention to PMAC and to former champion Chips who both predicted the Habs to finish with 58 points.

2013-2014 Meller93 exactly predicted the Habs final record 46-28-5-3.
Honourable mention to thehabbit who correctly predicted the Habs final point total and just missed getting their record exactly right.

 

2013-2014 nihliz predicted 50-23-5-4 for 109 points. In fact the Habs finished the season 50-22-5-5 for 110 points. Honourable mentions went to nhfarber who predicted 49-23-4-6 for 108 points and to sakiqc who predicted 51-26-1-4 for 107 points

 

2015-2016 Chris predicted 40-30-8-4 for 92 points. The injury ridden Habs finished the season 38-38-3-3 for 82 points.

 

2016-2017 The Habs finished the regular season 47-26-7-2 for 103 points.

Using tie breakers:

thehabbit had the winning prediction when he predicted 47-25-5-5 = 104 pts  and

Honourable mentions to kaos and Bluecross.

kaos predicted 46-26-6-4 = 102 pts

BlueKross predicted 46-24-6-4 =102 pts.

 


------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

2017-2018 edition


Almost the same rules as last season.

Predict
a) what the Habs regular season record will be: wins-losses-OTL-SOL
b) in what place in the Atlantic Division the Habs will finish
c) in what place in the East the Habs will finish
d) the total number of goals the Habs will score this season (including 1 goal per shootout win).

The winner will be based upon the most accurate prediction of the Habs final points.

In the event of a tie bonus points will be awarded for getting the number of wins, number of losses, number of OTL's or number of SOL's correct.

The latter three predictions will be used successively to break ties.

The decision of Peter Puck is final.

Don't forget to separate overtime losses and shootout losses.

Entries due before puck drop on Thursday Oct 5 at 7:00pm.

 

Good luck

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illWill    395

I'll get the ball rolling:

 

 

46-24-6-6= 104 points

Second place in the Atlantic

4th in the East

234 goals scored 

 

 

 

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Dalhabs    78

42-30-6-4  94 pts

4th in division

9th in the east

201 goals

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Stogey24    230

201 goals. Yikes 

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DON    21

47-26-9 103pts

2nd Atlantic

4th East

235g

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Commandant    606

48-25-9 105 pts
1st Atlantic
3rd East
230 goals

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50-18-8-6 for 114 pts

1st Atlantic

1st East

261 goals

 

Drouin finishes as top Habs scorer with 81 points , Price wins the Vezina.

 

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Toronthab    291

I predict that again this year I will be too cowardly to make a prediction! 

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Meller93    122

44-29-9 for 97 points 

3rd Atlantic 

6th east

237 goals for

 

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xXx..CK..xXx    131

43-30-3-6 = 95 points

2nd in Atlantic

5th in East

224 Goals

 

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PMAC    81

51-18-7-6 = 115 pts

1st Atlantic

1st East

267 goals

Aller Montreal! 

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hab29RETIRED    164
23 minutes ago, PMAC said:

51-18-13 = 115 pts

1st Atlantic

1st East

267 goals

Aller Montreal! 

Wow - You haven’t mistaken these guys as the 70’s habs juggernaut team have you???

 

43-29-10 for 96points 

3rd Atlantic 

7th in the east

224 goals

 

 

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xXx..CK..xXx    131

I'm going to be the Good Samaritan and say that many of you haven't separated overtime and shootout losses for the tiebreak. 

 

30-30-20 could be 30-30-15-5

or it could be 30-30-3-17 

 

Just as an example.

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PMAC    81
6 hours ago, hab29RETIRED said:

Wow - You haven’t mistaken these guys as the 70’s habs juggernaut team have you???

 

43-29-10 for 96points 

3rd Atlantic 

7th in the east

224 goals

 

 

If you can't be optimistic before the season starts, then you never will be. 😎 There is no rational reason for thinking they will be that good but who said fans have to be rational? 

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Commandant    606
7 hours ago, Commandant said:

48-25-9 105 pts
1st Atlantic
3rd East
230 goals

 

OT losses 6

SO losses 3

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nihilz    29

49-21-6-6 110pts

2nd Atlantic

3rd East

239 goals

 

Drouin 70 pts

Pax 45 goals Wins Rocket

Chuky 30 goals

Plekanec 50 points

Price Vezina 44w 2.29gaa .938sv% 9so

Hudon 3rd in Calder voting

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JoeLassister    272

a) 45-26-5-6 for 101 pts.
b) 3rd in the Atlantic Division
c) 7th in the East
d) 229 goals

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hab29RETIRED    164
3 hours ago, PMAC said:

If you can't be optimistic before the season starts, then you never will be. 😎 There is no rational reason for thinking they will be that could but who said fans have to be rational? 

It’s hard to be optimistic with the D we have and within our conference  TBL and the Leafs most likely being better.

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thehabbit    2

I don't always post, but when I do, it's to win this contest.:lol:

 

44-26-6-6 for 100 points

2nd in Atlantic

4th in East

239 goals for

 

If we don't fill the cap space, if we do, I reserve the right to make a new prediction, but of course it won't count!

 

 

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hab29RETIRED    164
1 hour ago, thehabbit said:

I don't always post, but when I do, it's to win this contest.:lol:

 

44-26-6-6 for 100 points

2nd in Atlantic

4th in East

239 goals for

 

If we don't fill the cap space, if we do, I reserve the right to make a new prediction, but of course it won't count!

 

 

Cap space is great if you have assets too bring in high end talent.  I don’t see how we fill the cap space with anything of quality without giving up either galchenyuk or maxpac.  Sure, we can fill it by taking on someone’s stupid expensive contract with too much term, but I doubt we even have the assets to trade for a true difference maker like Tavares unless Price is going the other way.  At best, we take on a bloated Giroux contract for galchenyuk - which IMO would be the Gomez deal all over again.

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BlueKross    26

44-27-6-5 for 99 pts

3rd in Atlantic

7th in East

234 goals

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Commandant    606
8 hours ago, hab29RETIRED said:

Cap space is great if you have assets too bring in high end talent.  I don’t see how we fill the cap space with anything of quality without giving up either galchenyuk or maxpac.  Sure, we can fill it by taking on someone’s stupid expensive contract with too much term, but I doubt we even have the assets to trade for a true difference maker like Tavares unless Price is going the other way.  At best, we take on a bloated Giroux contract for galchenyuk - which IMO would be the Gomez deal all over again.

 

There have been a number of articles looking at this team from an advanced stats perspective.  For all the Debbie Downerism you've put in here, it doesn't change the fact that the overall talent level of the team this year is pretty much exactly the same as the team that got 103 points and won the division last year.  No better, no worse, just different right now. 

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Chris    4

Last years team at least had some toughness and size. I don't see any talent upgrade anywhere. 

 

They are a  better skating on the back end, how that transitions to offense i don't know. 

 

I have them not in the playoffs, between 10th and 12th in the east. 

 

My  predictions:

Galchenyuk is traded

MB, scouting staff, assistant coaches are fired (except goalie coach)

Top 5 draft pick

Pleks moved by the deadline

 

 

 

 

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Commandant    606
8 minutes ago, Chris said:

Last years team at least had some toughness and size. I don't see any talent upgrade anywhere. 

 

 

Who cares about toughness and size?  Speed and skill wins hockey games. 

 

As for talent upgrades.

Drouin, Hudon, Hemsky, De la Rose > Radulov, Flynn, Martinsen, Ott,

I honestly think the offense is better. 

The coach is better, Julien for a full season over having 6 months of Therrien. 

Markov is a loss. 

Alzner > Emelin and Schlemko > Beaulieu

 

The overall numbers show a team that has changed pieces... upgraded in some spots, lost a little in others, but ultimately is unchanged... 

 

I'd put money on the fact that they are a lot better than 10th to 12th in the east.

 

Here is your chance... 9th or better... you donate $100 to the charity of my choice (i want a screenshot of the receipt).... 10th or worse in the conference, and I'll give you $100 via paypal or transfer.

I'm fully confident this team is much better than that.  Only a Carey price injury would put them in that range, and even then I think Lindgren, while not Price, would hold down the fort and they'd get a wild card. 

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Chris    4

We will see at the end of the year. Fine by me. 100 dollar donation it is

 

toughness matters, it's knocking people off the puck, clearing the front of the net, winning battles in the corners, screening goalies, etc. 

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