xXx..CK..xXx Posted March 3, 2019 Share Posted March 3, 2019 With 16 games left in the season a 4 team playoff race for 3 spots has emerged in the east. I was curious for the most part who posters felt would be the 1 team out of the 4 to miss the playoffs? These teams incude, Montreal, Carolina, Pittsburgh and Columbus. For some time, the Habs have held on to the first wildcard however the current standings amongst the teams at the time this thread was created is the following: 1 Carolina 65 GP 78 PTS 35 ROW 2 Pittsburgh 65 GP 77 PTS 33 ROW 3 Montreal 66 GP 77 PTS 33 ROW 4 Columbus 64 GP 75 PTS 36 ROW Shortly after the trade deadline, my assumption was that Carolina would be the lone team out and I will stick with that prediction. I think Pittsburgh will end 3rd in their division, Montreal will grab the first wildcard and Columbus will squeak in for an interesting round 1 match-up with Tampa Bay. My only worry is a seemingly difficult last few (4 or so if I remember) games of the year for our Habs when points will appear to be so crucial. My prediction 1 Pittsburgh - 3rd in Metro 2 Montreal - 1st wildcard 3 Columbus - 2nd wildcard 4 Carolina - Miss playoffs Share your thoughts. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Scott462 Posted March 3, 2019 Share Posted March 3, 2019 I hope your right about your prediction. Keep in mind about Pittsburgh though, their roster is riddled with injuries. Of course if Sidney Crosby decides to take over a game he will, like what we saw yesterday but it will be more difficult for him to do it over the last remaining games. That could play a factor. Carolina is riding a red hot streak that will enivitibly cool off but the question is when? If they don’t they will surely make it in. Columbus is a complete wild card as they seem to be on a win lose pattern for a while similar to the Habs. Pittsburgh - last wildcard Carolina - 3rd(or miss depending on there streak) Columbus - miss Habs - first wildcard Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
illWill Posted March 3, 2019 Share Posted March 3, 2019 I'm going to predict the curse of Matt Duchene continues and the Blue Jackets miss the playoffs Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Commandant Posted March 4, 2019 Share Posted March 4, 2019 Blake Wheeler with 4 goals as the Jets beat the Blue Jackets 5-2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
johnnyhasbeen Posted March 4, 2019 Share Posted March 4, 2019 Columbus out. Only by wins otl total. Which let's habs squeak in to face Tbay. Yuck. Not what I was thinking 2 weeks ago when I had us facing Toronto or Boston. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dlbalr Posted March 5, 2019 Share Posted March 5, 2019 Remaining strengths of schedule for each team: https://www.nhl.com/news/nhl-fantasy-hockey-strength-of-schedule-remaining-games-2018-19/c-305362652?tid=277729150 Pittsburgh Penguins: 17 games left; 10 home, 7 road; Opp. Pts. %: 0.552 Montreal Canadiens: 16 games left; 7 home, 9 road; Opp. Pts. %: 0.571Columbus Blue Jackets: 17 games left; 6 home, 11 road; Opp. Pts. %: 0.571Philadelphia Flyers: 16 games left; 8 home, 8 road; Opp. Pts. %: 0.580Carolina Hurricanes: 17 games left; 9 home, 8 road; Opp. Pts. %: 0.591 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Trizzak Posted March 5, 2019 Share Posted March 5, 2019 24 minutes ago, dlbalr said: Remaining strengths of schedule for each team: https://www.nhl.com/news/nhl-fantasy-hockey-strength-of-schedule-remaining-games-2018-19/c-305362652?tid=277729150 Pittsburgh Penguins: 17 games left; 10 home, 7 road; Opp. Pts. %: 0.552 Montreal Canadiens: 16 games left; 7 home, 9 road; Opp. Pts. %: 0.571Columbus Blue Jackets: 17 games left; 6 home, 11 road; Opp. Pts. %: 0.571Philadelphia Flyers: 16 games left; 8 home, 8 road; Opp. Pts. %: 0.580Carolina Hurricanes: 17 games left; 9 home, 8 road; Opp. Pts. %: 0.591 Piggybacking off this, Damian Echevarrieta is a great follow on Twitter this time of year for his playoff race graphics: Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
xXx..CK..xXx Posted March 5, 2019 Author Share Posted March 5, 2019 Nice posts guys. So far 3 people in this thread have predicted that they believe Columbus will be the lone team to miss the playoffs and I myself am the lone person to predict Carolina. Others have remained mostly silent and hopefully that has nothing to do with personal sentiments that Montreal may be the team to miss! With that being said, while perhaps off by a percentage or two depending where one looks, here is the likelihood that each team will make the playoffs at this point in the game. 1 Carolina 86.1% 2 Pittsburgh 85.9% 3 Montreal 66.5% 4 Columbus 55.3% Source: Hockey Reference Another page has the following as the odds: 1 Pittsburgh 89.7% 2 Carolina 88.3% 3 Montreal 65.0% 4 Columbus 53.8% Source: Sports Club Stats In both cases, Columbus is the team expected to miss should the playoffs have started today or tomorrow. Hopefully they continue to struggle down the stretch. What's interesting is that every team has a better chance of making the playoffs than missing them. As Brian noted, Philadelphia is also in the mix but their chances stand closer to the 6-8% range depending where one looks. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
revvvrob Posted March 5, 2019 Share Posted March 5, 2019 I think Carolina misses. Columbus i do think will get it together and make the playoffs but won’t win a round as they get to face the Lightning. Pittsburgh will get hot and stay hot and I’ll say wins their first round matchup with the Isles. Montreal has had its losing spell - I think they get their 4 of 6 points on the California swing and continues at that rate to the 7th seed. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DON Posted March 5, 2019 Share Posted March 5, 2019 Habs will be golfing earliest. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Commandant Posted March 5, 2019 Share Posted March 5, 2019 1 hour ago, DON said: Habs will be golfing earliest. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DON Posted March 5, 2019 Share Posted March 5, 2019 Sorry, know it wouldn't be popular...but just trying to be honest. I hope they do make it and get some experience for the kids and $$ for Molson. But, got feeling they will end up in no-mans land just missing out. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chris Posted March 5, 2019 Share Posted March 5, 2019 They do have a tendency over the years to vanish when the going gets tough. Even with all that character and attitude. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tomh009 Posted March 6, 2019 Share Posted March 6, 2019 1 hour ago, Chris said: They do have a tendency over the years to vanish when the going gets tough. Even with all that character and attitude. Last year's team really didn't have much character. Not the kind you'd want to have, at least. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BCHabnut Posted March 6, 2019 Share Posted March 6, 2019 Bit of a shit sandwich today if Montreal loses. Pens jackets win and canes get the ot point. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tomh009 Posted March 6, 2019 Share Posted March 6, 2019 7 hours ago, BCHabnut said: Bit of a shit sandwich today if Montreal loses. Pens jackets win and canes get the ot point. With the win last night, they gain a point on the Canes and keep pace with the others. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Trizzak Posted March 6, 2019 Share Posted March 6, 2019 18 minutes ago, tomh009 said: With the win last night, they gain a point on the Canes and keep pace with the others. Also gained ground on the ROW tiebreaker on Columbus. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TheDriveFor25 Posted March 6, 2019 Share Posted March 6, 2019 Columbus misses. Two games coming up against Pitt. Hopefully no three point games there! Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BCHabnut Posted March 6, 2019 Share Posted March 6, 2019 Islanders pdo (sh%+sv%) is 1026 with the highest save percentage in the league. Could they be the team to drop out? Greiss and lehner have done well sharing the duties but with lehner out its all up to greiss now. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Peter Puck Posted March 7, 2019 Share Posted March 7, 2019 I think Pittsburgh finishes 3rd in the Metro, Montreal gets the first wildcard and Carolina the 2nd. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tomh009 Posted March 7, 2019 Share Posted March 7, 2019 13 hours ago, TheDriveFor25 said: Columbus misses. Two games coming up against Pitt. Hopefully no three point games there! I would like to see Columbus sweep this series (purely for our chances). But I admit it's not very likely! Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
xXx..CK..xXx Posted March 7, 2019 Author Share Posted March 7, 2019 How many points will it take to get in? As of now, the Habs hold the second wildcard spot and are on pace for 96-97 points. This seems like a reasonable target for a team aspiring to make the playoffs. With 79 points and 15 games remaining, the Habs would have to achieve 18 points out of a possible remaining 30 points, or a .600 points percentage from here on out. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
John B Posted March 7, 2019 Share Posted March 7, 2019 On 3/5/2019 at 8:47 AM, xXx..CK..xXx said: Nice posts guys. So far 3 people in this thread have predicted that they believe Columbus will be the lone team to miss the playoffs and I myself am the lone person to predict Carolina. Others have remained mostly silent and hopefully that has nothing to do with personal sentiments that Montreal may be the team to miss! With that being said, while perhaps off by a percentage or two depending where one looks, here is the likelihood that each team will make the playoffs at this point in the game. 1 Carolina 86.1% 2 Pittsburgh 85.9% 3 Montreal 66.5% 4 Columbus 55.3% Source: Hockey Reference Another page has the following as the odds: 1 Pittsburgh 89.7% 2 Carolina 88.3% 3 Montreal 65.0% 4 Columbus 53.8% Source: Sports Club Stats In both cases, Columbus is the team expected to miss should the playoffs have started today or tomorrow. Hopefully they continue to struggle down the stretch. What's interesting is that every team has a better chance of making the playoffs than missing them. As Brian noted, Philadelphia is also in the mix but their chances stand closer to the 6-8% range depending where one looks. The Habs will get in. I have no idea who misses though. It's between Columbus and Carolina for me. Pittsburgh has too much talent and experience to miss. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tomh009 Posted March 8, 2019 Share Posted March 8, 2019 Columbus down 2-0 to Pittsburgh in the third. That'll skew the odds some more. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TheDriveFor25 Posted March 8, 2019 Share Posted March 8, 2019 Win tonight, have Columbus lose to Pitt again tomorrow and we are four points up. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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