QUOTE (Colin @ Mar 8 2010, 05:34 PM)

Good questions.
1. Jack Todd. In some respects, that's all that need be said about your point one. However, the reality is that he's *shock* potentially on to something here. On the other hand, other than the top three guys in any given draft, it's largely a crapshoot and perhaps the player quality is more a result of development *after* the draft than before it. With respect to Euro's, I'll admit that your point has piqued my interest and I'd be interested to look into that situation in more depth.
2. The 'doom and gloom' aspect in a lot of fan's eyes. I disagree - to a degree. Yes, we've spent to the cap and it will look interesting come this summer, but with a little creativity, I think any team can get past cap issues these days. Personally, I think the cap issue is overblown.
3. At this point in the season, the system *must* be question if looked at objectively. Yes, the last two games in particular saw the Canadiens playing much better team defense (under 30 shots per game in regulation, which is great), but the question is whether or not that's a blip or a trend. Time will tell. If it's just a blip, then it's a question that must be looked at more closely this off-season.
Do we have cracks in the foundation? Sure. Like any other team. Far less, though, than quite a few other teams. Hell, I think the Leafs are built on a peat bog.
Quite a good response. I agree with all three of your points, Colin. On #1, I'd be more worried about this if the Gainey years were marked by a dearth of young talent in general and young Euro-talent in particular. But in fact we drafted both Kostitsyns, Perezhogin, Streit, Emelin, Valetenko, Weber, Halak, Plekanec, and several other notable Euro-talents over that span. Every name on this list has been identified by scouts and 'experts' as a very promising pick and some have actually materialized into near-elite players. So whatever Todd is hearing, I don't see that the results thus far have borne that out. This sounds like a phantom problem to me - typical Montreal media, manufacturing sh*t where there isn't any.
I fully endorse your view on #2. We should at least SEE WHAT HAPPENS before prophesying doom and gloom on the cap front. Other teams manage their away around the cap. So can we.
#3 is the only one on this list that seems to be a really pressing concern. But JM is entitled to at least another half-season before we can declare him a flop, as is discussed in another thread.
I honestly believe that
if we can manage the cap, our foundation is actually pretty strong for the next 4-5 years. Should we be so fortunate as to have:
A. one young defenceman emerge as a top-4 guy (hi, PK!) and one forward emerge as a top-6 guy (hi, Pacioretty);
B. continued progress from either Kostitsyn, and from Pouliot, and from a couple of other young guys (O'Byrne, Pyatt, etc.);
C. no return to mediocrity for Pleks;
D. continued progress from our goalies
E. tolerably adroit replacement of inevitable losses such as Hamrlik
F. tolerable health from Markov
we will contend within 2-3 years. That's a lot of 'ifs' but then again, none of these seem like ridiculous improbabilities. Indeed, A, B, C, and D are all things that we can reasonably
expect. So the foundation is fairly solid in my estimation.