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Everything posted by tomh009
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GDT Game 42 Edmonton at Montreal 7pm January 13
tomh009 replied to Prime Minister Koivu's topic in Habs & Hockey Talk
This year's team hasn't really had long winning--or losing--streaks. I'm expecting them to play a decent game, whether that is enough for a win remains to be seen. -
And only four points behind second place, with 8-1-1 record in the last 10 games. They might even be able to avoid the play-in (4th vs 5th in the North division).
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There will be fewer passes to Caufield if the opposing team is putting more coverage on him.
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I think the combination of the shoulder and this explain a lot of the drop in shooting percentage, from 16.5% to 7.5%. Still, I do expect that percentage will improve somewhat in the remainder of the season. In the advanced stats, Caufield's on-ice xGF/ is actually improved (from 2.36 to 2.48), meaning that the Habs should be scoring as many goals as before, maybe just not by Caufield himself. But his on-ice xGA is down from 3.06 to 2.38, meaning that the opposition should be scoring far less often against them than last year. But, yes, that shooting percentage impacts the difference between xGF and actual goals in a big way ...
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Right. He still looks good and has not disappointed—which is encouraging in itself—but he’s only playing at the AHL level so far. The proof of the pudding will be in the eating!
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GDT Game 42 Edmonton at Montreal 7pm January 13
tomh009 replied to Prime Minister Koivu's topic in Habs & Hockey Talk
St-Louis does like to shuffle things up after practice, though! -
I know you said that, I was just elucidating! 🙂
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I don't think they will pay to move Armia, at least this year, as he still has value to the team (primarily PK), albeit less than his contract. And his contract is not so onerous as to significantly impact the Habs' cap space next year.
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I doubt they would trade their young forwards and we wouldn't want their old ones. Greig might be a nice addition for the Habs but surely not on the trading block.
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GDT Game 40 - Canadiens @ Flyers - January 10, 2024 - 7 p.m.
tomh009 replied to GHT120's topic in Habs & Hockey Talk
Danault in the summer of 2021 and then Lehkonen at the 2022 TDL. 😢 -
GDT Game 39 - Canadiens vs Rangers - 7 p.m. - January 6, 2024
tomh009 replied to GHT120's topic in Habs & Hockey Talk
I agree ... and disagree. The same number of total points makes sense. Now, change it to be five points for a win, four for OT win and three for SO win. Two for SO loss or one for OT loss. Each step gets you closer to a tie, really (even if we don't have ties any more). -
GDT Game 39 - Canadiens vs Rangers - 7 p.m. - January 6, 2024
tomh009 replied to GHT120's topic in Habs & Hockey Talk
It's worth noting, though, that three points for a regulation win will change many teams' tactics late in regulation, particularly when a game is tied, so the results won't be quite identical. 😊 -
GDT Game 40 - Canadiens @ Flyers - January 10, 2024 - 7 p.m.
tomh009 replied to GHT120's topic in Habs & Hockey Talk
They were shockingly bad in OT, considering how well they have usually played three-on-three. -
GDT Game 40 - Canadiens @ Flyers - January 10, 2024 - 7 p.m.
tomh009 replied to GHT120's topic in Habs & Hockey Talk
They're on track for 14 total for this game. Savard is the only Hab with more than one shot. -
GDT Game 40 - Canadiens @ Flyers - January 10, 2024 - 7 p.m.
tomh009 replied to GHT120's topic in Habs & Hockey Talk
I do like the Habs' shooting percentage in this first period! 😮 -
2023-24 Montreal Canadiens Discussion Thread
tomh009 replied to GHT120's topic in Habs & Hockey Talk
I don't think Hughes likes giving players away with nothing in return ... -
2023-24 Montreal Canadiens Discussion Thread
tomh009 replied to GHT120's topic in Habs & Hockey Talk
... and I think we are now down to 45 contracts, right? -
It may be, but he's very much a long shot. He was 43rd of 47 prospects in the 2022-23 Habs prospect rankings. https://www.habsworld.net/2023/02/2022-23-habsworld-prospect-rankings-41-47/
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Stephens is likely staying up for the full season now.
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It does not look good for playoffs, to be sure!
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Multiple sources claim that Kevin Hayes, who has been something of a role model for Gauthier, had something to do with it.
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GDT Game 39 - Canadiens vs Rangers - 7 p.m. - January 6, 2024
tomh009 replied to GHT120's topic in Habs & Hockey Talk
I don't see Hughes trading Barron at this point. Maybe once there is more certainty about Reinbacher and Mailloux, but not likely now. Unless, of course, someone offers a king's ransom for him, but I don't think that's likely right now. -
I wouldn't want to cherry-pick the hot streak, either, but neither would I specifically choose a less productive period. Using the full season is a more objective measure--and a bigger sample, too. Anyway, it appears that Hughes has some interest in Monahan, so let's see whether they are close enough to agree on terms. If they are not, Monahan will be gone for whatever price is offered.
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Only one year of point/game (or did you mean power play goals?), though, in 2018-19. For most of his Calgary career, he was in the range of 0.7-0.8 points/game. With the Habs, 0.68 last year and 0.59 this year--mostly not with top-notch linemates. He's down a bit from his earlier production, but still very credible. I do agree that a first-rounder is unlikely, all things consider, though. I think a big question is whether he likes playing for the Habs enough to sign (a reasonable contract) without exploring free agency.