To have a chance, I think we would need 94 points, same as last year. That would be 51 points in 38 games. Yes, a rather tall order, especially as we are still missing Gallagher, Armia and Drouin for a while.
I've personally written off this season now. I'll try to enjoy the moments (Lehkonen breakaway, Kovalchuk pass etc) but otherwise look forward to June.