Race To The Playoffs: Habs Playoff Push - Final Wildcard

[xXx..CK..xXx]

16 minutes ago, Prime Minister Koivu said:

There are some brutal match ups there

 

Colorado, Dallas would be great

 

Leafs would lose to Ottawa

 

I wonder who Montreal would play in the second round?

 

We’re getting a little ahead of ourselves but since the Habs would be second wildcard and Washington has the highest points total, the Habs would join the Metro Division part of the bracket.

Since it is a fixed bracket, we would face the winner of Carolina and New Jersey. Carolina against New Jersey is pretty close to official so should the Habs make the playoffs, that portion of the bracket is fairly accurate already.
 

I’m guessing it would be Carolina, but you never know. 

 

 

[BCHabnut]

1 hour ago, xXx..CK..xXx said:

 

We’re getting a little ahead of ourselves but since the Habs would be second wildcard and Washington has the highest points total, the Habs would join the Metro Division part of the bracket.

Since it is a fixed bracket, we would face the winner of Carolina and New Jersey. Carolina against New Jersey is pretty close to official so should the Habs make the playoffs, that portion of the bracket is fairly accurate already.
 

I’m guessing it would be Carolina, but you never know. 

 

 

Oof. Carolina are sooo good defensively.

[tomh009]

13 minutes ago, BCHabnut said:

Oof. Carolina are sooo good defensively.

I think our last game of the season is against Carolina. I hope St-Louis has something figured out by them so that the Habs won't get suffocated like they did last time.

[JoeLassister]

1 hour ago, tomh009 said:

I think our last game of the season is against Carolina. I hope St-Louis has something figured out by them so that the Habs won't get suffocated like they did last time.

I have tickets for that game.  Kinda hope it ends up being a decisive game for the Bell Centre atmosphere...  but on the other end, kinda wish we'd already have our playoffs spot secured too...

[xXx..CK..xXx]

5 hours ago, JoeLassister said:

I have tickets for that game.  Kinda hope it ends up being a decisive game for the Bell Centre atmosphere...  but on the other end, kinda wish we'd already have our playoffs spot secured too...

Thinking about going to the game against Detroit next week and have similar thoughts.

 

Unfortunately the Rangers won 5-4 in overtime tonight against Minnesota so they’re tied with us in points once again.

 

 

 

[Habs Fan in Edmonton]

Watched the end of the Ranger game, too bad. The Habs just have to take care of business, can't take the Bruins lightly. It would be a shame to win back to back games against the defensing cup champions and then come up flat against the Bruins. 

[xXx..CK..xXx]

Heading into tonight’s games:

 

Updated Standings:

 

MTL: 74 GP - 79 PTS / (25 RW)  - Max Points 95 

———————————————————————

NYR: 75 GP - 79 PTS / (32 RW) - Max Points 93 

CBJ: 73 GP - 77 PTS / (24 RW) - Max Points 95

DET: 74 GP - 75 PTS / (26 RW) -  Max Points 91

NYI: 74 GP - 74 PTS / (25 RW)  - Max Points 90

 

(Regulation Win)

Record since initial post:

 

NYR: 2-1-1 = 5 PTS (4 GP)

CBJ: 2-1-0 = 4 PTS (3 GP)

MTL: 2-3-0 = 4 PTS (5 GP) 

DET: 1-2-1 = 3 PTS (4 GP)

NYI: 0-4-0 = 0 PTS (4 GP)

 

In action tonight:

 

Boston @ Montreal 7PM EST

Colorado @ Columbus 7:30PM EST

 

Playoff Probability (Hockey Reference)

Montreal: 52.2%

Columbus: 24.8%
Rangers: 23.5%

Islanders: 2.4%
Detroit 1.6%

Playoff Probability (Playoff Status)

 

Montreal: 56%
Rangers: 28%

Columbus: 15%
Detroit: 3%

Islanders: 2%

Playoff Probability (Money Puck)

 

Montreal: 45.4%
Rangers: 32.5%
Columbus: 19.2%

Detroit: 2.9%
Islanders: 2%

Schedule: 

 

 

 

 

[tomh009]

Columbus gets no love from the prediction models.

[xXx..CK..xXx]

4 hours ago, tomh009 said:

Columbus gets no love from the prediction models.

They have Colorado tonight, Toronto, Ottawa twice, Washington twice. Let’s hope the other teams they face do what they’re supposed to.

 

I agree though, especially with Monahan returning and playing well and Columbus coming off of an 8-4 win. They and the Rangers both pose a threat. Let’s hope the season of underperforming continues for the Rangers, and the Jackets don’t handle their schedule well.

[xXx..CK..xXx]

Columbus won their last game 8-4 and then loses their next game today against Colorado 7-3. Roller coaster. 

 

Here are the standings compared to how they were when the thread started.

 

Current Standings 3/25/2025

 

Montreal: GP 69 - 33-27-9 / 75 Pts / RW 24

NYI: GP 70 - 32-28-10 / 74 Pts / RW 25

NYR: GP 71 - 34-31-6 / 74 Pts / RW 31

Columbus: GP 70 - 32-29-9 /73 Pts/ RW 23

Detroit: GP 70 - 33-31-6 / 72 Pts / RW 25

 

Updated Standings 4/3/2025

 

Montreal: GP 75 - 36-30-9 / 81 Pts / RW 26

————————————————————

NYR: GP 75 - 36-32-7 / 79 Pts / RW 32

CBJ: GP 74 - 34-31-9 / 77 Pts / RW 24

Detroit: GP 74 - 34-33-7 / 75 Pts / RW 26

NYI: GP 74 - 32-32-10 / 74 Pts / RW 25

 

 

If the Rangers lose their next game, that would be nice.

Record since initial post:

 

MTL: 3-3-0 = 6 PTS (6 GP) 

NYR: 2-1-1 = 5 PTS (4 GP)

CBJ: 2-2-0 = 4 PTS (4 GP)

DET: 1-2-1 = 3 PTS (4 GP)

NYI: 0-4-0 = 0 PTS (4 GP

 

Habs take the lead for the first time. Most games played though.

Playoff Probability (Hockey Reference)

 

Montreal: 64.2%

Rangers: 24.4%

Columbus: 10.4%

Detroit: 1.5%
Islanders: 0.9%

 

Playoff Probability (Playoff Status)

 

Montreal: 67%

Rangers: 25%

Blue Jackets: 6%

Red Wings: 2%

Islanders: 2%
 

Playoff Probability (Money Puck)

 

Montreal: 51.9%
Rangers: 28.6%

Columbus: 16.7%
Detroit: 2.4%

Islanders: 1.6%

 

Back to back this weekend at home versus Philly on Saturday and Nashville on the road on Sunday. Never easy but winnable games.

[Dalhabs]

Its interesting that jackets mean sens twice.

Then we play sens after that.

[xXx..CK..xXx]

Detroit and the New York Islanders decided to win tonight.

 

Detroit 5-3 against Carolina and the Islanders 3-1 against the Wild.

 

 

Maximum Points:

 

MTL: 95

NYR: 93

CBJ: 93

DET: 91

NYI: 90

 

Record since initial post:

 

MTL: 3-3-0 = 6 PTS (6 GP) 

NYR: 2-1-1 = 5 PTS (4 GP)

DET: 2-2-1 = 5 PTS (5 GP)

CBJ: 2-2-0 = 4 PTS (4 GP)

NYI: 1-4-0 = 2 PTS (5 GP)

[alfredoh2009]

3 hours ago, xXx..CK..xXx said:

Detroit and the New York Islanders decided to win tonight.

 

Detroit 5-3 against Carolina and the Islanders 3-1 against the Wild.

 

 

Maximum Points:

 

MTL: 95

NYR: 93

CBJ: 93

DET: 91

NYI: 90

 

Record since initial post:

 

MTL: 3-3-0 = 6 PTS (6 GP) 

NYR: 2-1-1 = 5 PTS (4 GP)

DET: 2-2-1 = 5 PTS (5 GP)

CBJ: 2-2-0 = 4 PTS (4 GP)

NYI: 1-4-0 = 2 PTS (5 GP)

 

games in hand, eh?! they still need to win them and the Habs would have to falter for the other teams to catch up.

 

This is fun

[xXx..CK..xXx]

A couple of models in regards to how many points may be needed to qualify for the playoffs and what would be needed to achieve that. The consensus seems to be that it will take roughly 88-90 points to qualify.

 

Record needed for 88 points

• (8) Montreal Canadiens: 3-3-1 (81 pts., 7 GR)
• (9) New York Rangers: 4-2-1 (79 pts., 7 GR)
• (10) Columbus Blue Jackets: 5-2-1 (77 pts., 8 GR)
• (11) Detroit Red Wings: 5-1-1 (77 pts., 7 GR)
• (12) New York Islanders: 5-0-2 (76 pts., 7 GR)

[Habs Fan in Edmonton]

Not worried about Detroit or the Islanders but today  it's definitely  Go Devils Go !!!

[xXx..CK..xXx]

Devils are winning 2-0 after the second period and the Rangers haven’t won a game all season after being down by multiple goals within a game.

 

 

Columbus plays the Leafs later. I’m not sure I can go as far as to say “Go Leafs Go” but I suppose we are rooting for them today. Hopefully they can return the favor we did for our weak little brother when we defeated the Panthers back to back and helped them on their quest to finish first in the division.

[tomh009]

4-0 Devils with two minutes remaining. I think we can stick a fork in this one.

[Habs Fan in Edmonton]

Now 4-0 Devils, awesome. Yes I will cheer for the Leafs tonight. Big picture!!

[Helmethead]

I’ll be screaming GO LEAFS GO from the top of the Connecticut mountains tonight thank you very much. 

[xXx..CK..xXx]

Rangers 0 - 4 New Jersey ✅
Columbus 0 - 5 Leafs ✅

Montreal 3 - 2 Philadelphia ✅

Tickets purchased for Habs vs. Detroit ✅

 

It was a good day.

 

Updated Standings:

 

MTL: 76 GP - 83 PTS / (27 RW)  - Max Points 95 

———————————————————————

NYR: 76 GP - 79 PTS / (32 RW) - Max Points 91

DET: 75 GP - 77 PTS / (27 RW) -  Max Points 91

CBJ: 75 GP - 77 PTS / (24 RW) - Max Points 91

NYI: 75 GP - 76 PTS / (26 RW)  - Max Points 90

Record since initial post:

 

MTL: 4-3-0 = 8 PTS (7 GP) 

NYR: 2-2-1 = 5 PTS (5 GP)

DET: 2-2-1 = 5 PTS (5 GP)

CBJ: 2-3-0 = 4 PTS (5 GP)

NYI: 1-4-0 = 2 PTS (5 GP)

After a dismal 0-3 start the Habs are streaking with 4 wins in a row.

 

Form

 

Montreal: L/L/L/W/W/W/W

Rangers: L/OTL/W/W/L

Detroit: L/L/W/OTL/W

Columbus: W/L/W/L/L

Islanders: L/L/L/L/W

[DON]

2 back to back games this week today & friday, not optimal.

 

 

[xXx..CK..xXx]

Habs playoff odds are higher than they’ve been in a while.

 

Playoff Probability (Playoff Status)

Montreal: 80%
New York Rangers: 12%
Detroit: 4%
Columbus: 2%
Islanders: 2%
 

Playoff Probability (Hockey Reference)

Montreal: 79.9%
New York Rangers: 13%

Columbus: 3%

Detroit: 2.7%
Islanders: 1.6%

 

Playoff Probability (Money Puck)

Montreal: 74.2%

New York Rangers: 15.%

Detroit: 4.7%

Islanders: 3.1%
Columbus: 2.9%

Habs Playoff odds in October:

 

 

Standings (Habs eliminated Boston & Philly)

 

 

 

 

[Habs Fan in Edmonton]

Tampa scores 3 goals in 2 minutes and are up 3-0,  you can almost stick a fork in the Rangers if they lose this one. 

[Commandant]

4-1 tampa late in the third.

[Commandant]

5-1 now.  

 

We could do real damage with a regulation win tomorrow.