Race To The Playoffs: Habs Playoff Push - Final Wildcard

[Butterface]

55 minutes ago, Commandant said:

5-1 now.  

 

We could do real damage with a regulation win tomorrow.

Yup. Big swing game for us tomorrow. Detroit is the bigger worry now.
Rangers and Wings need us to falter.

Likely the death knell for them both if we can grind out a regulation win tomorrow.

Circle the wagons and prepare for the kitchen sink to be thrown at us.
I know we’ve been playing some meaningful games, but this one has the most meaning yet.

 

Now 87.4% to make playoffs.

Detroit 5.5%

Rangers 3.5%

[tomh009]

CBJ and NYI also playing tomorrow. Let's see whether the boys can come out flying and crush the Red Wings.

[sbhatt]

A regulation win against the Wings tomorrow must move our odds of making the playoffs to at least 93% I would think?

[xXx..CK..xXx]

Things are looking good.

Updated Standings:

 

MTL: 77 GP - 85 PTS / (27 RW)  - Max Points 95 

———————————————————————

DET: 76 GP - 79 PTS / (27 RW) -  Max Points 91

NYR: 77 GP - 79 PTS / (32 RW) - Max Points 89

NYI: 76 GP - 78 PTS / (26 RW)  - Max Points 90

CBJ: 76 GP - 77 PTS / (24 RW) - Max Points 89

 

We’re closing in on some other teams’ maximum available points. If we win tomorrow, Detroit’s max will be 89 and we’ll be at 87. 

Record since initial post:

 

MTL: 5-3-0 = 10 PTS (8 GP) 

DET: 3-2-1 = 7 PTS (6 GP)

NYR: 2-3-1 = 5 PTS (6 GP)

CBJ: 2-4-0 = 4 PTS (6 GP)

NYI: 2-4-0 = 4 PTS (6 GP)

 

Playoff Probability (Hockey Reference)

Montreal: 90.7%

Rangers: 5.0%

Detroit: 3.3%
Islanders: 0.9%

Columbus: 0.1%

 

Playoff Probability (Playoff Status)

Montreal: 89%

Red Wings: 5%
Rangers: 3%
Islanders: 2%
Columbus: <1%

 

Playoff Probability (Money Puck)

Montreal: 87.4%

Detroit: 5.5%

Rangers: 3.5%

Islanders: 3.3%

Columbus: 0.3%



 

[Habs Fan in Edmonton]

Detroit also has a brutal schedule to finish the year.

[xXx..CK..xXx]

 

That’s Detroit’s end to the season which I update periodically on the original post. Good news indeed.

[alfredoh2009]

The Habs owe Dobes some recognition for filling in the back up spot when Primeau was not performing well.

 

Gotta give it to the kid

 

cette mentalité > what a quote by Doby #GoHabsGo

[image or embed]

— Canadiens Montréal (bot) (@canadiens-mtl.bsky.social) April 7, 2025 at 7:40 PM

 

[Commandant]

90 points is a clinch.  

 

Best the chasing teams can do is 89.

[xXx..CK..xXx]

Habs win 4-1 vs Detroit ✅

Columbus beats Ottawa 5-2 ❌

Nashville beats NYI 7-6 (OT) ✅

 

Maximum Points

Montreal: 95

NYR: 89

Detroit: 89

NYI: 89

Columbus: 89

 

Record since initial post:

 

MTL: 6-3-0 = 12 PTS (9 GP) 

DET: 3-3-1 = 7 PTS (7 GP)

CBJ: 3-4-0 = 6 PTS (7 GP)

NYR: 2-3-1 = 5 PTS (6 GP)

NYI: 2-4-1 = 5 PTS (7 GP)

Playoff odds higher than STL & Minnesota now. Rest of the teams in the east are crushed. 
 

 

 

 

 

[dreegking]

Anyone know how much one play off game cost earns a team profits? 
 

I am thinking maybe that’s the reason the Habs sign Demidov for  a years worth of salary for a week and playing (is that what just happened or is it prorated?). But if f he helps win a game come playoffs … 

 

what’s the money made with an extra game played in the playoff for a team at home? 

[Commandant]

11 minutes ago, dreegking said:

Anyone know how much one play off game cost earns a team profits? 
 

I am thinking maybe that’s the reason the Habs sign Demidov for  a years worth of salary for a week and playing (is that what just happened or is it prorated?). But if f he helps win a game come playoffs … 

 

what’s the money made with an extra game played in the playoff for a team at home? 

 

The salary is prorated 

[dlbalr]

5 hours ago, dreegking said:

Anyone know how much one play off game cost earns a team profits? 

 

I feel like around 10 years ago, the general estimate was that a home playoff game was around $2M in revenues for the Habs.  While capacity has dipped a bit since then, it's probably a fair bit higher than that now.

[xXx..CK..xXx]

Rangers lose 8-5 to the Flyers.

 

Playoff status has Habs playoff probability at 98% and hockey reference has it at 98.9%. 
 

 

Max Points

Ottawa: 98

Montreal: 95

Deroit: 89

Islanders: 89

Columbus: 89

Rangers: 87

 

[tomh009]

A win vs Ottawa would be awfully nice …

[DON]

4 minutes ago, tomh009 said:

A win vs Ottawa would be awfully nice …

1 point behind them then. Then likely get blown out vs Leafs the next day.

[Butterface]

Celebrini had himself a night. 5 points… now just 2 points back of our boy Lane.

 

Rangers are toasted.

 

Now we need them to beat Isles in regulation tomorrow.

 

Scoreboard watching Thursday, Friday and Saturday… fun times.

 

 

[The Chicoutimi Cucumber]

12 hours ago, xXx..CK..xXx said:

Rangers lose 8-5 to the Flyers.

 

Playoff status has Habs playoff probability at 98% and hockey reference has it at 98.9%. 
 

 

Max Points

Ottawa: 98

Montreal: 95

Deroit: 89

Islanders: 89

Columbus: 89

Rangers: 87

 

 

All I can say is, if I saw those numbers for any other team, I would be assuming that wild card race is over.

 

It’s not, technically, over, of course - and as Lenny Kravitz sings, it ain’t over ‘til it’s over. But damn. This team ❤️

[Habs Fan in Edmonton]

11 minutes ago, The Chicoutimi Cucumber said:

 

All I can say is, if I saw those numbers for any other team, I would be assuming that wild card race is over.

 

It’s not, technically, over, of course - and as Lenny Kravitz sings, it ain’t over ‘til it’s over. But damn. This team ❤️

 

Yes, technically it's not over but pretty darn close to being over. I guess we can look at Kapanen and Demidov as our trade deadline acquisitions. 

[The Chicoutimi Cucumber]

32 minutes ago, Habs Fan in Edmonton said:

 

Yes, technically it's not over but pretty darn close to being over. I guess we can look at Kapanen and Demidov as our trade deadline acquisitions. 

 

Hughes deserves full credit. He played the deadline exactly right, in retrospect - neither weakening a  team that has ended up (almost certainly) making the dance, nor shipping out assets unnecessarily. He challenged the team to rise and they sure did.

[Habs Fan in Edmonton]

1 hour ago, The Chicoutimi Cucumber said:

 

Hughes deserves full credit. He played the deadline exactly right, in retrospect - neither weakening a  team that has ended up (almost certainly) making the dance, nor shipping out assets unnecessarily. He challenged the team to rise and they sure did.

 

Agree 100%

[Helmethead]

2 hours ago, The Chicoutimi Cucumber said:

 

Hughes deserves full credit. He played the deadline exactly right, in retrospect - neither weakening a  team that has ended up (almost certainly) making the dance, nor shipping out assets unnecessarily. He challenged the team to rise and they sure did.

Trust chef Kent 

[huzer]

Magic number vs any team is 3 (only 1 for the Rangers). Let's go for a wildcard pretender sweep tonight (CBJ, FLA, NYI losses) and the Habs can officially clinch on Friday.

 

 

[Commandant]

4 minutes ago, huzer said:

Magic number vs any team is 3 (only 1 for the Rangers). Let's go for a wildcard pretender sweep tonight (CBJ, FLA, NYI losses) and the Habs can officially clinch on Friday.

 

 

 

I think you mean DET not FLA

[huzer]

Just now, Commandant said:

 

I think you mean DET not FLA

 You are correct, sir. Right game, wrong team!

[Habs Fan in Edmonton]

Looks like the Islanders are packing it in, 4-0 already.