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Colin

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Posts posted by Colin

  1. Good job!!! I like this thread. :D

    My name is Colin Prichett. Guy! has absolutely no relation to Guy Lafleur or Lapointe or Carbonneau. My buddy calls me Guy all the time. LOL That's it. In fact, usually he yells it, hence the ! at the end.

  2. If you weren't there, NJ (here we go again. Names people, I like names!!! LOL) then I, for one, have no reason to disbelieve you. However, look at this from an outsiders standpoint - I certainly have no reason to disbelieve anyone else. There's been nothing but fair play since I entered the league and I can't see AP or Hannes doing the things you mentioned.

    However, when we sit back and look at the facts, perhaps we can come to a conclusion together which can be satisfying, if not pleasing.

    You had Ahonen(sp?) in net early on, and that post to the Headquarters said that you wanted to put Brodeur in between the pipes. Regardless of whether you did it or not, and if you can, take a step back from the game and look at it critically, would that not be the logical thing to do? Would the Devils have a much larger chance of winning the game with Brodeur in net rather than Ahonen?

    It's unfortunate that your team lost, double unfortunate of being swept, however it seems to me that they lost to a better team. Pure and simple. From what I can see, it wouldn't matter if you put Ken Dryden in net, you were still going to lose the series rather rapidly. Short of bricking the net up, there was little hope for your team. T-Bay, if you look at them with a neutral eye, is a real contender for the Cup this season.

    Therefore, from a personal standpoint, I would like you to just forget this incident and move on to improving your still very good club with the goal of whupping T-Bay's butt next season. I appreciate your frustration, but even if there was foul play, I just don't see the need to get in a huff since the outcome will be the same. Indeed, *if* there was foul play, I'm betting that this incident will certainly ensure that there is none in the future.

    (Again, I would like to reiterate that I have no reason to disbelieve anyone. As far as I know, you are all upstanding people, and I've never seen any reason to believe otherwise.)

    Actually, I can probably lay blame here. Micro$oft. In some way, they are always at the root of any computer conspiracy!!!

    Get those players resigned and then make a trade or two to make that club better than T-Bay's, NJ. Whatever happened this year should only be fuel to kick ass next season! ;)

    Colin

  3. I know I'm not a playoff team, but thanks for all the extra effort AP. It's particularly rewarding, playing with a group of diverse people, when those running the show take the extra time and care about what they're doing. Three hours to pull this all together and make it work after a system crash is above and beyond.

    This goes to all running the sim. Great for those of us who are sitting here sending in lines every few days or something painfully simple like that, but quite another for guys like our webmaster, or especially AP and Hannes (sorry if I'm missing those who throw in lots of effort, I don't know you all) for putting in all this effort so we can all have fun playing a game like this.

    Kudos guys. Two big thumbs up.

  4. Of all the draft lists that were made, the TSN list, compiled in large part by MacKenzie was easily the closest. Bob may be a lot of things, but what is isn't is ignorant of the draft and of young talent. That's where he's at his best, and I think it'd be hard for *anyone* to challenge him there.

    As to the Toronto Hockey News....

    'Nuff said.

    Anyone who rates Toronto highly this year is really going out on a limb. If there's one GM who won't get the benefit of a grace period because of the new rules, it's Ferguson, who has done some pretty daring things. That team is in large trouble and I would say might struggle to make the playoffs.

    Interesting to note the difference between the average Leaf fan and the average habs fan. The average Leaf fan will ALWAYS think they are challengers for the Cup. (Uh huh. Well over a quarter century and still dreaming.) While the average habs fan criticizes his team to no end. How DARE Lafleur not score three tonight. Two isn't good enough. And if you think that comment is exaggerating things, ask an old-timer habs fan.

    Colin

  5. Honestly? I don't particularly like that idea. We're playing a season that is similar to the last NHL season when they did the draft that particular way. Changing it now is kind of harsh to those teams down at the bottom and changes ALL the worth of all the draft picks that everyone has struggled to trade for these past few months. In effect, by snaking the draft at all, you'll potentially render many trades unworthy. In fact, I think you'll find that those last five picks have achieved a somewhat religious status since they have the chance at winning the Crosby affair. By lessening that chance, you're in essence thumbing your nose at the neediest teams in the league.

    And that's very Toronto/Ranger$ of you! :D

    Since everyone has been operating under the assumption (since it was said this was the way it was going to be) that we're going to be drafting as the NHL does, I don't think it's particularly fair to up and switch that at the last moment. Yes, I'm arguing this because of my placement in the league, but I'm also arguing for Washington, Carolina, and the other extreme bottom feeders. It's particularly poignant since the cap was instituted and we had to shed salary to get under a specific number. I can't comment on anyone else's case, but in order for me to do that, it required remaking the team, since Dallas was based on elder farts with mega-salaries.

    If the league is going to change the draft, I suggest doing that for next season, and not so late in the day for this one. As to the snaking idea, I think it will harm trade talks immeasurably. You'll never know where you're going to pick, so how will you value a pick in the future?

    Personally, I think the existing lottery is the way to go and the draft is well-suited to how the NHL exists today - and how our league works. I am firmly against any changes that would come at the 11th hour like this.

    Apologies for the tone of the post, however I feel it necessary to speak up.

  6. The draw is for only one team. All teams are ranked as they finished and only one team has the chance to move up. If team number 10 wins the lottery, then they move up four places, to number 6, and then the numbers 6, 7, 8, and 9 teams get bumped down one position. The rest of the teams keep their draft positions.

    I dunno how clear that is. LOL

    To summarize, only one draw, only one team moves.

  7. Okay, because I'm THAT damn thorough, I have found a randomizer on the net - a research randomizer which will pick that single number. All we have to do is assign values for each team.

    Remember, this will be mildly simplified.

    There are to be 1001 possibilities.

    Team 1 has a 25% chance, therefore they have 250 numbers.

    I recommend a simple dividing of the numbers. For example:

    Washington 1-250

    Carolina 251-438

    Dallas 439-580

    team 4: 581-687

    5: 688-768

    6: 769-830

    7: 831-878

    8: 879-913

    9: 914-940

    10: 941-961

    11: 962-976

    12: 977-987

    13: 988-995

    14: 996-1001

    The number drawn shows the winner. Now, the way this is, there will actually be slightly less chance for everyone, but it's only one in one thousand. I can deal with that. To do the cam thing, if that's the interest, I can turn it at the computer and click the randomize key on the site. Fait accompli.

    BTW, the first time I did it, I came up with number 991. Heh. That'd be interesting, eh?

    What does everyone think?

  8. I found it all. Halle freakin lujah.

    However, it's pretty darned complicated so I think we'll have to adapt ours somewhat differently. I'll post the rules here to look at for now, but I'm going to go and figure out another way to work out something close.

    ***

    The Draft Drawing will involve clubs that do not qualify for this season’s Stanley Cup Playoffs, or clubs that acquired the first-round drafting positions of those non-playoff clubs. The Draft Drawing result does not affect the draft order for the remainder of the first round and rounds two through nine.

    The club selected in the Draft Drawing may not move up more than four positions in the draft order. Thus the only clubs with the opportunity to receive the first overall selection are the five clubs with the lowest regular-season point totals (or clubs that acquired those clubs’ first-round drafting positions). No club can move down more than one position as a result of the Draft Drawing.

    Under the weighted lottery system, the club with the fewest regular-season points will have the greatest chance (25%) of winning the Draft Drawing and will pick no lower than second at the 2004 Entry Draft.

    The Draft Drawing will be observed by the independent public accounting firm Ernst & Young. Fourteen balls, numbered 1-14, will be placed in a lottery machine and four will be expelled, forming a series of numbers. A probability chart, created by Bortz & Company, divides the possible combinations among the 14 participating clubs. The four-digit series that results from the expulsion of the balls will be compared to the probability chart to determine the team to which that combination has been assigned.

    The current percentage chance of being selected in the Draft Drawing is as follows, based on team finish:

    30th........... 25.0%

    29th........... 18.8%

    28th........... 14.2%

    27th........... 10.7%

    26th............. 8.1%

    25th............. 6.2%

    24th............. 4.7%

    23rd............. 3.6%

    22nd............ 2.7%

    21st............. 2.1%

    20th............. 1.5%

    19th............. 1.1%

    18th............. 0.8%

    17th............. 0.5%

    There are 1,001 numerical combinations possible, and one combination has been eliminated to make the odds equitable. If the eliminated series of balls is drawn, a 0.1% probability, the drawing will be re-held immediately.

    After the club selected moves up, the balance of the first 14 draft selections are adjusted by one, with the appropriate clubs moving down one slot to accommodate the winner, if necessary.

    ***

  9. There's loads of information, unfortunately, on the lottery that just came to pass with all 30 teams involved. As to the previous lottery where only non-playoff teams are invited, I've found nada. Normally I'm a pretty calm guy, but when there's no information at all available on the world wide web... at least none that's readily available, I start to get cranky. :D

    I promise not to beat Streamer with that pillow too badly.

  10. Well, after searching for an hour or so, this is what I've found:

    Virtually nothing.

    I can tell you that the winner of the lottery does not move up 5 positions, but only four. I can tell you the percentages of the bottom four teams in terms of winning the lottery. What I cannot say is how many "balls" there are and what the percentages for everyone else would be. And I've looked everywhere I can think of. The actual NHL site is *painfully* out of date in terms of those rules.

    30. 25%

    29. 18.8%

    28. 14.6% (or 14.2 depending on the source)

    27. 8.1%

    Really quite aggrevating, if you ask me. So if anyone knows the number of balls that would be in the lottery, that would be BRILLIANT, because otherwise I might just have to beat Streamer about the head and neck with a wet pillow.

    :wall:

  11. If you want every team involved in the lottery, you're going to remove chances for those at the upper end to get a fair shake at the number one pick. I'll sit down here and try to come up with a way to figure it all out, if you like. And I'll find out what the usual percentages are when the NHL does it's usual lottery. We can come up with some kind of system for HWL that works.

    Perhaps two lotteries? One, the regular one, for the non-playoff teams where they get that chance to move up 5 spots. Then another lottery for playoff teams which bumps one team up 5 spots?

    I'll go think on the rest.

  12. Getting away from the "who" question... lol Which is becoming a disturbing one.

    WHEN are we planning on having this lottery? Since everyone wants to keep things moving along, I suggest it be done sooner rather than later; especially if the commishes only plan on simming non-playoff teams once a week. That would mean we'd need to finish up our scouting fairly rapidly, and I'd personally like to know where I'm going to draft so I can assign scouts accordingly. I'm sure others do as well - particularly teams who might be able to move up 5 spots in the draft. You're talking about a whole other section of people to scout in that circumstance.

    With the playoffs just starting, my humble recommendation would be to get the lottery done before the league asks for all non-playoff teams to submit HQ stuff for the first time since the post-season. That should give ample opportunity to get scouts out there.

    Colin

  13. Well, I just got the sucker and I'll see if it works later today. *chuckles* If you want me to do it, I think I'll wear a *suit* rather than play up any cheesy porn ideas you guys have.

    lol

    But I'd be perfectly satisfied if Hannes did it.

  14. Originally posted by HABS Fan Nr.1
    Originally posted by Guy!

    The first issue that has to be dealt with, and I haven't seen it mentioned anywhere, (though it's a minor issue in the grand scheme of things), is for the lottery to be held for the teams who don't make the playoffs. I assume we're going with the standard format that the NHL uses with the somewhat weighted system, and that's all good. But what are the logistics?

    My choice would be for Hannes to do it on his own - Hannes because he's the Commish, but also because he's not in the playoff picture. If there were some way to do it otherwise, that would be great - a webcam and a couple of other GM's witnessing would add legitimacy. I don't want him to have to feel pressured that he's rigging it if it's discovered he had a deal with Washington for the first pick, or something like that (just an example).

    As I already said before, we'll make a NHL like lottery - only the non-playoff teams are included and every team can move up a max. of 5 spots.

    I'll still have to find a way how to do that, though I can't provide a webcam chat for this thing as I simply don't have a cam ... I suppose you've to trust me for this. ;)

    I might have access to a webcam, though me doing it might cause some to be queasy. If it comes to that, I can sit here and make sure everyone sees the "hat" or whatever it is I use, I'll ensure everyone sees every paper, and I'll ensure there are no hassles with the draw. I have no problems doing that if no one has any qualms, but I leave it to all of you. (I also have to confirm that the cam will work - I hope to pick it up tonight.)

    Colin

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