Jump to content

simonus

Member
  • Posts

    7245
  • Joined

  • Last visited

Posts posted by simonus

  1. currently cap hit = $42.85 for 15 players

    Here are the qualifying offers (took Higgins off the list)

    14 Tomas Plekanec, C (26): $1 800 000 - arbitration eligible

    28 Kyle Chipchura, C (23): $903 000*

    84 Guillaume Latendresse, LW (22): $892 500

    32 Shawn Belle, D (24): $660 000* - arbitration eligible

    78 Mathieu Aubin, C (22): $563 750*

    36 Matt D'Agostini, RW (22): $558 800*

    70 Gregory Stewart, LW (23): $550 000*

    35 Loic Lacasse, G (23): $522 500*

    42 Olivier Latendresse, C (23): $522 500*

  2. Was listening to the radio today and they said it's expected to go up next year as well because the Canadian teams are propping the league up extremely well.

    I dunno - the cap is based on revenue from 2 yrs prior. I have to think that the recession has to affect revenue at some point. The CBA amendment is pretty interesting, though, and does indicate a willingness to prop up the cap in the interest of stability over profitability.

  3. I just received a pm from this user purporting to be a mod... and he ain't... so if any of you guys get a pm from him, just ignore it He's been banned, but some of his detritus might still be floating around.

  4. Explain to me how SHO is a "streak" stat...please don't give me a definition that is simply built to fit the argument of "just because he pitched 9 scoreless innings in a row it shouldn't be called a shut-out because he could have pitched 4 scoreless to close one game and 5 scoreless to start another"...because I'll break it down now, each game, whereby a pitcher begins with a "fresh arm" must be treated as an independant sample within the larger set. So throwing 9 scoreless innings, from the beginning of a game, IS indicative of a pitchers influence on A game...which again was what my comment was related to.

    CG is NOT team dependant...the only way a pitcher gets to throw a complete game is if he's thrown a small enough pitches per inning productively to get through the 9th inning without being yanked. Not sure how you can claim it's a team based stat. It doesn't even typically matter what the score is if a pitcher has thrown well all game they are typically left in to complete it.

    W's is certainly team based BUT I also said it was among the most indicative stats with regards to a pitchers influence on a game...if a pitcher does not pitch well the team will not win likely 90% of the time.

    ERA and WHIP are also likely the two best "mainstream" indicators being used thanks to fantasy baseball. The reason I said those stats show Halladay dominates more hitters is because I think there are a lot of factors affecting ERA that weren't reflected in their data, such as opposition, park factors...and some that aren't reflected in any adjusted stats (to my knowledge) such as when a guy has a 6 run lead and a couple runners on, they may let a run come in if it get's them an out (ie. still look for GB when runners on 1st and 3rd and nobody out)...while they may not in a tight game. MAYBE that comes out in the wash, but I suspect Halladay has those leads more often then Santana BECAUSE of the other stats such as SHO's, CG's, HR/9 and BB/9...

    SHO is a streak stat because it gives a pitcher credit for inconsistency. It obscures a season's worth of rate data by focusing on a pitcher's good days. It's like saying "this hitter had 10 3-hit games", or "in games he wins, Pitcher X has an ERA of 1.10". Sure, a player that has a lot of SHO's is probably very good and has a good ERA or WHIP, or K/BB (which is a great stat), but SHO doesn't really help you find that out. SHO is a symptom of good play, and like many symptoms, need not always occur in connection with the cause. I want to see a stat that shows a how a pitcher does on his good AND bad days.

    Also, SHO overrates the value of giving up 0 runs. Giving up 0 runs is not incredibly better than giving up 1 run. A pitcher who only gives up 1 run over 9 innings wins ~97/100, a pitcher who gives up 0 runs wins 100/100. Why don't you use a 1RA stat in addition to SHO? Why not a 2RA (which is also pretty good) stat? Why not just look at the average rate that the pitcher gives up hits/runs.

    gotta go work now, I'll cover CG and W later.

  5. ERA, WHIP, CG's, SHO, W's are the most indicative categories to a pitchers influence on a team or game. The fact Halladay had so many W's, CG's and SHO's on so many crap teams is impressive to say the least. Santana's ERA and WHIP numbers are also impressive even with a good team around him and the fact he typically had the edge in park factors, team defence, etc.

    no way. SHO is a streak stat. As CG and W are so team dependent it means that we should be very cautious before using them to support any argument.

    ERA is a decent but significantly flawed stat. WHIP is pretty damn good.

    DERA is pretty decent, as is pitcher VORP. VORP, WHIP, K/9 and BB/9 are prolly most indicative of a pitcher's ability.

    I don't really care about santana v. halladay, but if you care about quality of opponents, look here http://baseballprospectus.com/statistics/s....php?cid=313111

  6. it's tough to compare them, especially considering that they now play in very different leagues. I think Johan Santana has had the more impressive career to date, but I am more interested in who is better right now.

    I think it is foolish to use 2009 stats because of the small sample size, and it is difficult to use Santana's 2008 stats because it is a transition-to-new-league year. Additionally the 2008 NL East and 2008 AL East are hugely different leagues.

    As far as endurance goes, Halladay is not overwhelmingly superior to Santana. Per bball-ref, he has a 230 IP/162 games where Santana has ~213IP over 162 games. Noticeable, but nothing to go wild over.

    Despite a slight hiccup in his league transition year, Santana has shown a distinct and significant advantage in his strikeout numbers (at slight expense of his walk numbers). Largely thanks to this, Santana has shown superior ERA+ over his career and in recent seasons. Santana is also younger and so one would expect him to have a few more years of prime performance left relative to Halladay (and being in the NL should increase this apparent advantage).

    For those that care, it is interesting the Halladay has yet to pitch a postseason game, while Santana has pitched moderate-to-ok in his few games (remember that postseason numbers should be judged with a skeptical eye given the quality of opposition and the small sample). Of course, Santana is somewhat removed chronologically from those appearances. I would be especially loathe to look at Santana's numbers as a predictor of future postseason results given that they are spread over a few of his early years (note that he was damned good in his last appearance).

    Overall, I think I give the decision to Santana by a long nose, although they are both obviously very good. I am terribly worried about Lincecum being overused and getting torn apart.

  7. Not a big fan of "On The Corner" so far.

    I got the "Kind of Blue (50th Anniversary Collectors Edition) and I am enjoying it.

    ok - you want cool bebop then. On The Corner is really experimental and a lot of jazz purists hate it. I threw it in to get a sense of where you were at. DK was absolutely right about Bill Evans. Get "Miles Smiles" by Miles David. Look at some Charlie Parker.

  8. I'm in the process of getting those jazz songs but what about some blues?

    I do enjoy John Lee Hooker but I need some more names.

    not quite my forte

    Robert Johnson

    Muddy Waters

    Nina Simone

    Billie Holiday

    Bo Diddley

    Also, not quite legit, but Jimi Hendrix put out a pretty fun compendium of blues song on an album called "Blues". You might enjoy that as a transitional album.

    Charlie Mingus is pretty great. You might want to check out Charlie Parker.

    Tell me which of those Miles Davis albums you like and I can tell you what you what else you need. Miles transcends genres.

    oh, and you might like Jaco Pastorius.

  9. ok. You need a ton of miles davis: at least

    1) Kind of Blue

    2) On the Corner

    3) Black Magus

    4) Bitches Brew

    John Coltrane

    1) Soul Trane

    2) My Favorite Things

    3) A Love Supreme

    4) Giant Steps

    Thelonious Monk

    1) Straight No Chaser

    2) Monk & Rollins

    Modern Jazz Quartet

    1) Artistry of the MJQ

    2) Django

    3) Blues on Bach

    Dave Brubeck Quartet: Time Out

    That'll be a start.

  10. if I may be so bold as to speak for Joe: religion all to often claims a role in science - a role to which it has no right.

    Or, to channel Richard Dawkins: religion makes a claim as to actual events, to the way the actual world works. Insofar as it makes those claims - the historicity of the flood, the tower of babel, the resurrection of a dead person, the existence of a metaphysical soul which exists independent of a living human - it is making a claim which is, at least theoretically, if not in practice, scientific. These questions are scientific insofar as it is possible to imagine evidence which could disprove the claim. In theory, if given a blood sample from Jesus and of Joseph, we would be able to see if Jesus were his biological child, or indeed one might expect to see genetic information which was non-human. If we could analyze Jesus's DNA and find no way in which it was different from a human's DNA, it would make the gospels less likely to be true. Certainly, if we were to find a distinctly non-human element to that DNA - or if such a sample included something other than DNA - then it would lend great credence to the supernatural claims of Christianity. If religion makes a claim that the world is of a certain age - 6,000 years, 10,000 years, 1 trillion years - it is a claim that can be examined.

    Perhaps there is a role for God that is not even theoretically testable, much less untestable in practice. Such an argument - for instance, that god set the rules of evolution or set the power of the weak nuclear force - are probably uninteresting or even offensive to the religious believer as a faith that relied on such claims alone would allow for only a non-interventionist, deist god. In essence, then, the claims that religion makes of a theistic god are to a broad degree testable and scientific in nature.

    PS - I realize I should reiterate that the above statement is my attempt at channeling Dawkins and is not necessarily my own opinion.

  11. Not true. I went to Catholic schools all my life and I was often taught about other religions. Half my senior year in high school was world religions, as was my first semester in college. The Catholic Church absolutely encourages the study of other religions, particularly as a means of teaching toleration.

    Well, there are many "catholic" universities that have all but abandoned their theological underpinnings in the classroom. I doubt a biology class at Notre Dame is noticeably different from one at University of Michigan. Only where the church holds more sway to we begin to see differentiation.

    As to your high school, I think that is great. It is quite a different thing, I imagine, than the type of instruction offered by the Quebec school system. I am curious to know to what degree catholic dogma was taught with the same tenor as were the other religions. One of the great lessons a student can get from a comparative religion class is to study their parents' faith through the same critical lens as they do others.

  12. The main problem here is mentioned in the article, the fact that the teachers weren't properly trained to teach the class. I love the idea of such a course, but you have to be careful about it. I mean, anyone properly trained in the course would not teach it in such a way that kids would think becoming Hindu automatically gives you seven lives. Anyone teaching the class has to avoid commentary and opinion, present the material in a fair manner, and make it clear they are teaching faith and beliefs, not absolute fact.

    kids can get things wrong when they hear a lecture. I have certainly - especially as a young child - completely misunderstood my lesson until I was later disabused of my error.

    The great thing about such an error - or indeed with a faithful assimilation of the information - is that it gives a child the chance to have a real discussion about it with his or her parents after school. Instead of Star Academie, the family gets to actually use their brains. The kid can learn that 1) the parents are not all knowing, and 2) the teacher is not all knowing... perhaps the parent can learn something too. These are all valuable results.

    EDIT: It should be noted of course, that a Hindu person absolutely believes that a conversion (to whatever degree one can convert) helps one achieve greater incarnations. Imagine the teacher disabusing a Hindu child of such a thought? What would the reaction be then?

    Just take religion out of school !!!

    EDIT 2: I worry about this question of "proper" training. I wonder what proper training would look like to the protesting parents. Additionally, it seems like there is more concern as to a teacher's ability to teach this course than there is to teach basic science. I have encountered a legion of incompetent teachers (in Quebec and the USA) that teach things that are laughably incorrect and gobbled down whole by their students. Why are we more concerned about this? What is the terrible effect of a teacher accidentally teach the Arian heresy?

    because people in conflict have deep beleives that wont be erased by a 2 hours/week course course.

    besides, this province is historicaly catholic. if government feels religion has no place in school than all religion should be out.

    anyways, there are crybabies everywhere...

    but this is taking religion out. This is teaching people to be aware of the world we live in. When we study Hinduism, most of us do not imagine we are learning about the nature of the Universe - we realize that we are learning about the nature of Hindus. The problem that the parents had was not that kids were learning religion, but that they weren't learning the primacy of the religion of their parents. When that aspect of religious education is removed, it is quite a different thing indeed.

    I don't think any church wants an all-encompassing class taught in school. Education of core beliefs doesn't help any singular religion. Solving differences doesn't help any singular religion. I'd argue that education weakens religion, which is why the devoutly faithful aren't really in favour of it.

    Absolutely. The parents, acting as proxies for their various religious groups were implicitly making that exact argument.

    Any answer I'd try to give about "core beliefs" would not be nicely welcomed.

    Perhaps not by every member of the board, but the vocal are not necessarily representative of the whole.

×
×
  • Create New...