tomh009
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Posts posted by tomh009
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15 minutes ago, Prime Minister Koivu said:
Getting beaten this bad, this often isn’t good.
Im all aboard team tank but blowouts don’t help development at all
Being #5 in the lottery rankings is a good thing in the end ... but I, too, would like to see competitive losses rather than blowouts. This one was still OK in the second but things totally fell apart in the third.
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What's wrong with Gallagher's attitude, in your view? He's one of the hardest-working players on the team, even if the results are no longer there.
Other than that, the Habs are down 2-0 but the game is still more enjoyable to watch than the pair in Florida, I think.
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21 minutes ago, DON said:
Mesar 2a 19:15 in 4-3 SO loss.
2a plus a goal in the shootout. 10 rounds of shootout, the Slovaks managed only two goals, the Swiss three.
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10 hours ago, Commandant said:
Habs didnt play well... but 7 goals on 4.66 is still -2.33 gsax, a bad night.
Hes coming back to earth like last year.
Indeed a bad game. But he has had some strong games recently, too. Not consistent at the moment, we’ll see where he trends — and same for Allen.
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1 minute ago, DON said:
Not write-off, just be more projectable as a capable NHL d-man.
Things for him to work on, certainly.
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2 hours ago, DON said:
If Mailloux could defend better and play smarter, more like a Guhle, i would like moreso and make him more useful in the NHL.
(Mailloux's last fight in the OHL left him out for a long time, after getting knocked out and injuring shoulder. Maybe throwing a tantrum and gooning it up isnt the best route for him to take.)
Xhekaj adapted from his OHL gooning ways so I wouldn’t write Mailloux off quite yet because of this.
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Savard's still non-contact, I don't think he'll play without at least one full-contact practice first.
Maybe they can play Wideman on PP1, it can't be any worse than the recent results.
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There are some suggestions that the Rangers should trade Lafreniere to the Habs, but I suspect at this point it's just based on (1) him not fitting in in NY and sitting in the press box, and (2) him being French.
But is there a deal that could be made that could actually make sense for both teams? Could St-Louis rejuvenate Lafreniere? Could the Rangers be enticed by something like Hoffman (can provide some immediate scoring help for them) and a 2nd? Or would the Rangers still be looking for a first-round pick? (Not so keen on giving up either one of ours.)
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17 minutes ago, Prime Minister Koivu said:
Then it’s a simple 20% chance at Bedard (or is it 25% for bottom 4?).
Lottery percentages:
32nd: 25.5 / 18.8 / 55.731st: 13.5 / 14.4 / 32.0 / 40.2
30th: 11.5 / 11.5 / 7.4/ 40.7 / 28.8
29th: 9.5 / 9.8 / 0.0 / 15.4 / 44.9 / 20.5
28th: 8.5/ 8.8 / 0.0 /0 .0 / 24.5 / 44.2 / 13.9
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18 minutes ago, Commandant said:
Habs are 6th worst in points percentage.
The idea that this team cant finish bottom five seems to be wrong. They absolutely can.
Bottom four looks quite possible, but bottom three less likely.
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13 hours ago, Commandant said:
There is the Montembault who is a tank commander.
It certainly wasn't a strong game but the Habs would have lost this with or without him: xG was 4.66 to 1.86 for the Panthers, so you could attribute roughly two of the goals to Montembeault's play (which makes sense as he allowed five high-danger goals and two medium ones, and saved all low-danger shots).
The team simply isn't playing well, and really hasn't been since mid-November. And now the goalies aren't bailing them out, either, so they only have seven wins in the last 20 games -- and two in the last 10. And all the lopsided results of the season fit into that that 20-game span, I think. It's not just Monahan, either, the secondary scoring has been nowhere, and the opponents have figured out how Suzuki and Caufield can be neutralized.
I think this is really a challenge for St-Louis, how to adapt his philosophy (not system!) as the other coaches adjust their game plans. I do have confidence in his ability to change, though, as he showed that throughout his career as a player. But this will be a new challenge for him ...
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10 minutes ago, The Chicoutimi Cucumber said:
And if/when we move out Monahan, Drouin, and Dandonov, we will also create significant roster holes that will need to be filled somehow. Right now those guys, no matter how badly the latter two suck, are better than any alternative within the organization. So the team will only get worse with their departure.
We can replace some or all of these players with UFAs, yes. But then you risk taking on more contracts that will be getting in the way when your next wave of youth is coming up.
For Drouin and Dadonov, I am confident that Richard and Ylonen would be an upgrade next season. Beyond them, though, should Hugo move Hoffman or Anderson, the choices are more slim. Roy, Mesar, Mysak, Farrell probably not ready yet, the latter maybe the closest (assuming he wants to sign).
Beyond that, they might need to look on the waiver wire again. I really don't see them doing any significant UFA signings, though they could look to sign an aging veteran as they did with Perry a few years ago.
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For what it’s worth, a player picked somewhere in the 10-12 range has something like a 70% probability of playing 100+ NHL games. Probability of a first-line player is significantly less than that.
Hughes saw Dach’s probabilities as significantly better than that.
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13 minutes ago, The Chicoutimi Cucumber said:
Yes, but the thought that they might have drafted the wrong guy is hardly a consolation. The bottom line is: if Nazar becomes a markedly better player than Dach, they lose the trade, because they could have had Nazar. That trade was predicated on the assumption that Dach would be equal to, or better than, whoever was drafted at 11.
By that criterion, pretty much every single NHL team loses every single draft. Because everyone picks players, as a rule, when (ones that eventually turn out) better are available. They might make one or two great picks but everyone misses players. And the Habs are no different.
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10 minutes ago, Prime Minister Koivu said:
Dadonov - Drouin - Hoffman is quite the line…
Da Da Da
Ha Ha Ha
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Xhekaj is a super story. I continue to be impressed by how well he has adapted to the NHL, which requires a very different playing style to what helped him succeed in the OHL.The kid is not only big and brawny, I think he has some smarts, too.
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Let's hope Montembeault is in form and can steal this one for us. In regulation, as you said.
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From the Worst Performances of 2022 on The Athletic:
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Worst trade: Alex de Brincat to Ottawa -- and Kirby Dach to Montreal.
"You know what’s better than a core built around Connor Bedard? A core built around Connor Bedard, Alex DeBrincat and Kirby Dach. Maybe the picks acquired for the duo will match what those two bring to the table, but that’s not the likeliest scenario."
- Worst goal (honourable mention): "Jacob Markstrom’s aggressive save that pulled him out of the crease and led to a Montreal goal just 13 seconds into play (Dec. 1)."
The Habs themselves didn't manage to score any "worst" rankings
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Worst trade: Alex de Brincat to Ottawa -- and Kirby Dach to Montreal.
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3 hours ago, GHT120 said:
I think the Habs' website phrasing was as close to confirmation SM will start as anyone but MSL can give.
It would be highly unusual to start the same goalie on two back-to-back games anyway. And Allen has started three in a row, time for Montembeault.
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Mesar has his first goal now, as Slovakia takes a 4-2 lead over the US, late in the second.
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What is adjusted goals? Adjusted for games played? Adjusted for linemates? Adjusted for league scoring pace? Adjusted for goaltender equipment? There are so many things to adjust for ...
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33 minutes ago, xXx..CK..xXx said:
Not talking about this instance specifically but St. Louis has been terrible at deciding when to pull the goalie. Not pulling your goalie with 3-4 minutes left is not giving up on the game, and there have been many instances where he has done something of the like. We go from having a chance, to not having a chance.
Maybe St-Louis views pulling the goalies as a learning experience for the team. Winning the games, or losing them by another goal or two, really doesn't matter so much this season.
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Yeah, at this point I think the Habs most likely end up in the 7th-9th (from bottom) range, unless they have a prolonged slump or a massive fire sale at deadline.
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Game #37 Montreal at Washington 4pm EST Dec. 31
in Habs & Hockey Talk
Posted
It looks like we don't need to worry about goaltending spoiling our chances for a high pick. After Montembeault came up with -2.33 GSAx (goals saved above expected) vs Florida, Allen outdid him with a -4.17 GSAx. Ugh. We don't need all-star goaltending this season but hopefully this is just a blip and both goalies stop some more pucks in January.