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TurdBurglar

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Posts posted by TurdBurglar

  1. 1 hour ago, The Chicoutimi Cucumber said:

    I expect a very quiet deadline from HuGo. Even the rumour mill is quiet. Next year, when expectations shift and some contracts are expiring, should be much livelier. But who knows.

    I think the only names that are in the mill in any way now, are Allen and Savard.  Both of which have another year on their deal, making less need to trade by Friday and for teams really interesting, it hurts their value.

     

    The only one Hughes is actively shopping I believe is Allen or Primeau.  Have read over the last couple of days Hughes is saying he's ok with carrying 3 goalies to the end of the season. That's  probably posturing though.

  2. 3 hours ago, hab29RETIRED said:

    Patersson is not signed. I’m not giving up Suzuki for guy that is a RFA for 1 more yr before being a UFA, and you have to sign, and are unsure how much that would be. $10m, $11m, $12m, $13m?

     

    I didn't think it needed to be stated that it would come with a pre-negotaited contract extension, as almost every other trade of this sort, but that's on me for not explicitly stating that.  Rumor is he is at $11.5m AAV for an undisclosed amount of year right now.  I would safely bet he will settle around the $11m AAV mark.

     

    3 hours ago, Commandant said:

    That said we might have one already.

     

    So we may have a true franchise level centre on our hands.

     

    Suzuki hasn't had a PPG season his entire career(0.78 PPG), possibly this will be his first.  At 24 years old, there is nothing to indicate Suzuki is elite level, let alone a franchise center.  He's no doubt a good top line or great send line center, which his career numbers clearly indicate.  That comment is something you would jump over if someone else said it.

     

     

  3. 59 minutes ago, GHT120 said:

    You think VAN would have to add something of value along with Pettersson?

    It would be an elite center for a top line center and a young top-4 defenseman with top pair/elite potential. 

     

    If Guhle wasn't an NHL mainstay, I would say it's about fair.  A 22 year old current top-4 defenseman with 100 games of experience has significant value.  Most defensemen are in they're mid 20's to be as far along in development.  Guhle's current development certainly has him in the top pair/elite category, whether he reaches it or not is a different story.  If he were put on Vancouver today, he most likely would be on the 2nd pair, even with how good Vancouver is.  As much as I hate advanced stats, jfresh has him at 94% for even strength defense this season, so take that with a grain of salt.

     

    I'm not saying Vancouver would have to throw the kitchen sink at the trade, but I do believe in that scenario they would have to add something else.

  4. 1 hour ago, DON said:

     

    An upgrade on Suzuki, but Habs have other holes in roster, why make a move like that now? A centre for a centre, still leaves Habs without a legit #2 centre but, if could add Pettersson for a winger (Caufield) and young d (Guhle) &/or picks would be more appetizing.

     

    I would rather keep Caufield.  Keep Caufield and Pettersson on different line as they’re both goal scorers.  In theory it should spread out scoring and give Caufield easier opponents.

     

    I don’t think Guhle and Caufield for Pettersson is a fair trade.  Vancouver would definitely have to sweeten the pot some to get that to work.  

  5. Sounds like Vancouver is entertaining the idea of trading Pettersson as extension talks have stalled.  They still hope they can resign him.  The rumors have it, IF they do in fact trade him, they will be looking to bring in players with term.

     

    If he is in fact being traded, wouldn't offering Suzuki+ for Pettersson be a good idea?  He's an upgrade offensively, Suzuki is having a career year, and Pettersson's value isn't has high as it should be because of the need to trade him.  Vancouver will be looking for a replacement at center, and probably more.  I don't see a scenario where it would happen without Caufield/Suzuki going the other way, with emphasis on replacing Pettersson at center.  I have no idea the the + would entail.

     

    Just tossing out the idea here.

  6. Left Wing Centre Right Wing
    #22 Cole Caufield #14 Nick Suzuki #20 Juraj Slafkovský
    #89 Joshua Roy #35 Alex Newhook #40 Joel Armia
    #11 Brendan Gallagher #71 Jake Evans #17 Josh Anderson
    #70 Tanner Pearson #36 Colin White #56 Jesse Ylönen


    Left Defence Right Defence
    #8 Mike Matheson #21 Kaiden Guhle
    #72 Arber Xhekaj #58 David Savard
    $54 Jordan Harris #26 Johnny Kovacevic


    Starter Backup
    #35 Samuel Montembeault #34 Jake Allen

     

    Courtesy of Habs Eyes on the Prize.  Only slightly stolen this time.

     

    Leap Year Game!  I looked at the date a long time before I realized it's a leap year.

     

    • Upvote 2
  7. Left Wing Centre Right Wing
    #22 Cole Caufield #14 Nick Suzuki #20 Juraj Slafkovský
    #89 Joshua Roy #35 Alex Newhook #40 Joel Armia
    #11 Brendan Gallagher #71 Jake Evans #17 Josh Anderson
    #70 Tanner Pearson #36 Colin White #56 Jesse Ylönen

     

    Left Defence Right Defence
    #8 Mike Matheson #21 Kaiden Guhle
    #72 Arber Xhekaj #58 David Savard
    $54 Jordan Harris #26 Johnny Kovacevic

     

     

    Starter Backup
    #35 Samuel Montembeault #34 Jake Allen

     

     

    Stolen from Habs Eye on the Prize.

    • Upvote 1
  8. 39 minutes ago, alfredoh2009 said:

     

    I would be surprised Anderson rebounds under MSL. I doubt that happens

    I'm not sure MSL is Anderson's problem.  MSL puts Anderson in positions to succeed.  Anderson has been getting some great chances, he's just severely snake bitten and it's not from lack of effort.  He's a bit of an enigma.  With his playstyle and the chances he's been getting, he should have more points. 

     

    His career shooting % is listed at 11%, but has been 12%+ the last 4 years.  He's shooting at 6.5% this year.  Granted, he's spent the majority of this season in his own bubble on the ice, with his lack of awareness of his teammates. 

     

    I see Anderson as just snake bitten and having a bad year.  Sure we give him a hard time on these forums, but I honestly doubt this is the Anderson we see next season.   I have been wrong before though.

  9. 4 minutes ago, alfredoh2009 said:

    Myers, he is a pending UFA at $6M. Reportedly being played a lot lately but did not have a good start to the season and was being played less.

    Ian Cole is another option, but his cap hit is only $3M. Anderson at 50% cap-hit could be an option there but I am not sure I like that deal for Montreal (cap hit for the 3 years and prorated this year, right?):

    To MTL: Ian Cole ($3M/pending UFA) Jonathan Lekkerimäki

    To VAN: Josh Anderson (50% $5.5m/2027), Jordan Harris (50% 1.4M/2025) = $3.45M/cap-hit

     

    VAN can send Arshdeep Bains down to make room under the cap and put Anderson in that spot.

    Just from a technical standpoint, Montreal only has 1 retention slot leaf for this season, so they can't retain on Anderson and Harris.

     

    From a value standpoint, I would imagine Vancouver wants much more in return for Lekkerimaki than Anderson and Harris, even with a big retention.

  10. 5 minutes ago, GHT120 said:

    But would he help them for 3 more years at $5.5M against their cap?

    If Vancouver is really interested in Anderson, I wouldn't be opposed to retaining Anderson for 4 years if the return from Vancouver included Letterimaki.  The salary retention alone would be worth a significant amount to Montreal.

     

    That being said, I'm not sure Vancouver has an appetite for Anderson for 4 years.  They could flip him sometime in the future.  Very well doubt this scenario happens anyway.

  11. 38 minutes ago, GHT120 said:

    You are correct that nobody is completely untouchable, but I think the consensus (here and elsewhere that I heard/read) was that the young NHL forward and a former first round pick with second line potential was someone whose "potential" was of the "once upon a time had" context.

    While that's what it could mean, it also could mean they were picked in the first round and still has second line potential.  Without knowing who it was and what was actually meant that statement, making an assumption either way is equally as inaccurate.

  12. 41 minutes ago, Commandant said:

     

    Is he completely untouchable or is he a guy the Habs were unwilling to sell at his lowest value when in the AHL?  I dont know the reports said either way.

     

    I think we can say that he wont be cheap though.

    Nobody is completely untouchable, but I would say Xhekaj is just as untouchable as the defencemen you listed.  While he was in the AHL Montreal was offered "a young NHL forward and a former first round pick with second line potential," according to the fourth period.  That offer was rejected, which seems like a substantial offer for Xhekaj.

  13. 1 hour ago, Commandant said:

    Jimmy Murphy is a horrible source.  

     

    That said we are deep on D and for the right price Im sure Hughes would trade him, but hes not giving him away.  I think the only ones hes not willing to move (for the right price) are Guhle, Hutson, and Reinbacher

    From previous reports, add Xhekaj to that list as well.

  14. 2 minutes ago, tomh009 said:

    I think the Devils are still entertaining hopes about a playoff run so likely looking for immediate help rather than a draft pick.

    Unless it's done during the draft.  At 22, he's well under control of the team.  Unless he is used as a trade chip, as you suggested, he could still be available at the draft.

  15. 49 minutes ago, GHT120 said:

    The $776,667 is the 25/26 cap-hit for the second year of the buyout period ... a buyout saves the $1,533,337 on the 24/25 cap, and costs $766,667 in 25/26.

     

    The cap hit numbers were the numbers Capfriendly had listed at Montreal's cap hit for those 2 years.

     

    jakeallenbuyout.png

  16. 30 minutes ago, Habs Fan in Edmonton said:

     That is another option for the summer.  Not sure what is cheaper or better, retain 50% and then maybe you get something for him or a buyout. I guess it depends on the goalie market. 

    From Capfriendly's buyout calculator:

     

    A Jake Allen buyout spans 2 years, has a cost of $1,533,333 and savings of $766,667. Allen is 33 years of age at the time of the buyout; therefore, the buyout ratio is 2/3. With $2,300,000 in salary remaining, the cost is $1,533,333, and the savings are $766,667. Buyouts span twice the length of the remaining years and because there is 1 year remaining in the contract, the buyout length is 2 years. The buyout cap hit is displayed in the Cap Hit Calculations table below.

     

    (below is abbreviated)

    Cap hits

    24-25 - $2,316,667

    25-26 - $766,667

     

    By those calculations, trading Allen with 50% retained for futures is better cap wise, but does use a retention slot.

     

     

  17. 58 minutes ago, Prime Minister Koivu said:

    I bet Allen gets put on waivers next season if Hughes can’t trade him. I don’t think anyone wants him.

    Or Primeau goes somewhere in the off-season as apart of a package.

     

    Read that Buffalo may look for a goalie in the off-season in free agency or trade for a goalie with a year left so Levi could spend a full season in the AHL.  Allen with retention is about what Buffalo would be spending in free agency.

  18. 11 minutes ago, GHT120 said:

    The goalie market is weird this year.  Multiple teams are looking for goalie and there's some interesting names out there that may or may not be available.

     

    Saros is listed there too and I'm pretty sure Nashville still wants to resign him.

     

    Markstrom may or may not be available.

     

    Swayman may or may not be available.

     

    With 3 good goalies potentially available, teams don't want to commit until they know the status of at least those 3.  Allen won't get traded until the deadline.

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