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Quebec City ain't getting an NHL team unless every city in North America is on fire.

rel.html I agree that stats are not the be all end all and that they should be used more often as just a tool not a measuring stick of how one player is better than another, that's not really what I am attempting to do. I am just trying to put the numbers in perspective for the crowd ready to take Weber out to the shed and old yeller his ass before he has even stepped foot on the ice in Montreal. Where is the r of .45? it's certainly not in the article you linked.... and what is it based on... because the level of the correlation should not be based on one player. It should be based on hundreds. Second here is the key to the zone starts... http://hockeyanalysis.com/2015/03/21/zone-starts-and-impact-on-players-statistics/ "For me, the main evidence that zone starts don’t have a significant effect on a player’s overall statistics is if I remove the 45seconds after all offensive/defensive zone face offs (which basically ignores the entire shift) the majority of players have the same CF% +/- 1% and only a handful with heavy offensive or defensive zone starts have an effect in the +/- 1-2%. If removing all shifts that start with an offensive or defensive zone start does not dramatically impact a players overall statistics you simply cannot conclude that zone start bias plays a prominent role in driving a players overall statistics. Yes, for a particular shift it will, but not overall. Furthermore, the majority of that impact occurs in the first 10 seconds after a face off which is why my zone start adjusted data removes these 10 seconds which is something I showed over 3 years ago." I also remind you that Subban's zone starts were actually worse than Webers when you pull the data. On teammates. The player who everyone is saying is effecting Weber's corsi is Gaustad. Here is the problem. Corsi is the relationship between shots for and shots against. Gaustad is good in preventing shots against. The defensive half of the equation for Gaustad is good. The offensive half of the equation is very, very bad. Weber is the opposite. His offensive side of the equation is very good. The defensive side shows real problems. So gaustad being on the ice doesn't correlate to why Weber's defensive stats are so poor. How is Gaustad and the fourth line an explanation for Weber's defensive stats falling so much? http://hockeyanalysis.com/2015/03/16/zone-starts-corsi-and-the-percentages/

Ok, I think we can all agree that Weber stats have shown decline. That is a no brainer. I am hopeful that a change of scenery and a new partner on the line help him turn that around and he has 2 career seasons ahead of him. Then we can move him while he still has value and not be stuck with the back end of his contract. Right now it is all just speculation. Nobody has any idea how he will do when paired with Beaulieu. I believe his corsi will be a little different next years as will PKs. They are both headed to different situations. different systems. Shea will see his PP numbers blow up this year. Why? Capt Kirk is running the PP and I don't think DD will be on it. He never had that before and still had good PP numbers. PK will be rushing more and therefore scoring more but also being caught up ice more often. No MT holding him back. His game and corsi will also change. My point being, you can't assume a player will be the same corsi when he is on a new team, therefore I don't need to hear about it. It has no bearing on the future what so ever. It is like saying Glen Anderson was an elite goal scorer because he happened to play with Gretzky. He wasn't as was proven in Toronto, but his corsi rating in Edmonton was through the roof. You can use these stats to say how a player will probably perform given the same team, but corsi has no relevence IMO once a player has changed teams.

Call me old fashioned, but I like using goals and assists to judge a player's worth, and using wins and losses to judge a team's worth.