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Habs Playoff Race: Chances/Odds


MMPL

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This is a thread that gives you a look at where the habs may end up with the following records. The many numbers in the colums represent the percentage/odds of the position they will end up in. For example if the habs finish 10-0-0 then they will have a 98% chance of finishing 1st || Or, If the Habs finish 7-3-0 then they have a 59% chance of finishing 2nd and a 3% chance of finishing 5th ect, ect. So enjoy, and this will be updated after most habs games.

Playoff3.jpg

Updated: Mon. March 17th

Edited by MMPL
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This is a thread that gives you a look at where the habs may end up with the following records. The many numbers in the colums represent the percentage/odds of the position they will end up in. For example if the habs finish 10-0-0 then they will have a 98% chance of finishing 1st || Or, If the Habs finish 7-3-0 then they have a 59% chance of finishing 2nd and a 3% chance of finishing 5th ect, ect. So enjoy, and this will be updated after most habs games.

Playoff.jpg

Yer not a bookie are you?

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So in other words, if we want to win the division, we'll have to play above .500. If not, we probably wind up 5th.

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So in other words, if we want to win the division, we'll have to play above .500. If not, we probably wind up 5th.

According to that, we need 11 points in 9 games to get a two-thirds chance to win the division. With 10 points it's a coin flip.

Of course, I don't think this takes into account the added importance of our head-to-head games against Ottawa.

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According to that, we need 11 points in 9 games to get a two-thirds chance to win the division. With 10 points it's a coin flip.

Of course, I don't think this takes into account the added importance of our head-to-head games against Ottawa.

The main problem with these stats is that they assume everyone has a 50% chance to win wach game.

I don't think its valid to assume that Ottawa, NJ and Pittsburg (or the Habs) are only 50% likely to win any one of their remaining

games.

These stats do however take into account the two head-to-head games we have left against Ottawa.

Edited by Peter Puck
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Cool stats. So our best oddsa re for finishing 2nd, right? (1/3) I could handle that.

Correct and with the ottawa loss tonight it will be higher. And if we win tuesday it will be probably 38/100 odds.

It just matters if we win or lose so hope for the best! :lol:

:ghg:

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I do like that only 1 more point puts us at an above 50% chance of making the playoffs. :clap:

And one more win and we got an 84% chance :clap:

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