GDT GAME #48 Montreal Canadiens @ Detroit Red Wings - 7PM - Thurs, January 23, 2025

[Commandant]

The fact that nearly every hockey player in the league is inconsistent is why the best team doesnt go 82-0 and the worst team doesnt go 0-82.

 

Every player in the league has ups and downs.

[Butterface]

Okay.. last I looked.. .940 trumps .899

 

Small sample size and I expect Dobes will regress towards .900 or so just based on his stats.

 

In the meantime run the hot hand. 

[Butterface]

Good luck to next person doing game thread… it was fun…

 

I stirred the pot as best I could.

 

 

[Commandant]

16 minutes ago, Butterface said:

Okay.. last I looked.. .940 trumps .899

 

Small sample size and I expect Dobes will regress towards .900 or so just based on his stats.

 

In the meantime run the hot hand. 

 

I agree dont mess with the formula thats worked.... monty as the starter and dobes as the backup over the last month.

[Butterface]

11 minutes ago, Commandant said:

 

I agree dont mess with the formula thats worked.... monty as the starter and dobes as the backup over the last month.

Tell that to MSL who left Beck at home and played Pez 4:06.

Beck was a good luck charm.

 

[Commandant]

29 minutes ago, Butterface said:

Tell that to MSL who left Beck at home and played Pez 4:06.

Beck was a good luck charm.

 

 

[Butterface]

[Butterface]

16 minutes ago, Commandant said:

 

Right now we’re trying to Float our Fanny down the Ganny….. into the playoffs.

We need a good luck charm.

[Commandant]

I dont believe in that.  Work hard, have talent, make your own luck 

 

Lucky charms is just a cereal with marshmallows, nothing more.

[Butterface]

8 hours ago, Commandant said:

I dont believe in that.  Work hard, have talent, make your own luck 

 

Lucky charms is just a cereal with marshmallows, nothing more.

 

[GHT120]

9 hours ago, Commandant said:

I agree dont mess with the formula thats worked.... monty as the starter and dobes as the backup over the last month.

Since Dobeš' (black font) second start proved his first game wasn't a fluke, it has been Montembeault (red font) getting 3 games for every 2 that Dobeš got ... I am OK with that unless Dobeš "earns" fewer games (i.e., he significantly slumps and Montembeault is outplaying him) ... Dobeš is young and needs to be playing ... anything less than 1 in 3 and I would consider sending him back to Laval.

 

[GHT120]

9 hours ago, Butterface said:

Good luck to next person doing game thread… it was fun…

I stirred the pot as best I could.

 

You enjoy stirring the pot ... I never would have guessed ... 😜

[Commandant]

22 minutes ago, GHT120 said:

Since Dobeš' (black font) second start proved his first game wasn't a fluke, it has been Montembeault (red font) getting 3 games for every 2 that Dobeš got ... I am OK with that unless Dobeš "earns" fewer games (i.e., he significantly slumps and Montembeault is outplaying him) ... Dobeš is young and needs to be playing ... anything less than 1 in 3 and I would consider sending him back to Laval.

 

 

33-40% of starts would be my target

[The Chicoutimi Cucumber]

9 hours ago, Commandant said:

 

I agree dont mess with the formula thats worked.... monty as the starter and dobes as the backup over the last month.

 

Voice of reason as usual. 

 

The Habs were not going to continue at a 12-3 pace until the end of the season, so even if we buy into the premise that we're now actually a pretty good team, the fanbase needs to accept that some losses - maybe even back-to-back losses - are going to happen. Even good teams lose. We saw a team last night that was tired, perhaps because they've been going full-bore for two months. I suspect we're in for a bumpy few games as they try to find their groove again.

 

This team dug itself a huge hole in October-November and doesn't have much margin of error. But they're also human beings. If we think about our own professional lives, how many of us work at 100% maximum capacity non-stop all the time? We have periods of illness, fatigue, uncertainty, and regression, and so will these Habs. 

[GHT120]

17 minutes ago, Commandant said:

33-40% of starts would be my target

Agreed ... 33% was my threshold for Laval ... 40% is what its' been since his second start

[Meller93]

17 hours ago, GHT120 said:

If *** not *** a typo it might explain the reduced ice time.

An average of over 1 shit per minute is grounds for reduced ice time for sure 

[The Chicoutimi Cucumber]

10 minutes ago, Meller93 said:

An average of over 1 shit per minute is grounds for reduced ice time for sure 

 

😄

 

Let's hear what the advanced stats have to say

[Commandant]

1 hour ago, Meller93 said:

An average of over 1 shit per minute is grounds for reduced ice time for sure 

 

Most players are at 0.05 xP (expected poops)

[Butterface]

2 hours ago, GHT120 said:

 

You enjoy stirring the pot ... I never would have guessed ... 😜

Well… you gotta stir in the mix. And we’re in the mix… so I stirs.

 

 

 

 

[Butterface]

13 hours ago, Commandant said:

I agree dont mess with the formula thats worked.... monty as the starter and dobes as the backup over the last month.

Dobes 5-0

Montembeault 6-3

Beck 2-0

 

Which formula is working ? 

 

[BCHabnut]

54 minutes ago, Butterface said:

Dobes 5-0

Montembeault 6-3

Beck 2-0

 

Which formula is working ? 

 

If your numbers were 

 

Dobes 15-3

Monty 26-13

Beck 5-1

 

I might be more willing to entertain your ideas. Dobes looked incredible for 2 games and has slowly regressed over his last 3. There is no sample size. You must see that. Dobes has looked shaky and let in some stinkers. Give it time to work out. He's a backup. Not a 1A. Maybe he will play his way into a 1B and take over as 1A, but that will take a pile of games. Not 4 or 5 but 25 or 35. Monty has let in some softies. I suspect he will continue to do that. We don't know what we have in Dobes yet. Give it time. Remember Matt Dagostini. RHP. Countless other mid to level players. They get called up and ride a high and overperform. Eventually it evens out. 

[Commandant]

1 hour ago, Butterface said:

Dobes 5-0

Montembeault 6-3

Beck 2-0

 

Which formula is working ? 

 

 

At this point weve discussed this enough and your question is simply disengenuous at this point.

 

On an NHL team wins/losses are never due to one player... and small sample sizes are not worth discussing.

 

 

[Commandant]

Remember Poehling's first game hattrick.  Surely he's a number 1 centre, right?

[Butterface]

Sorry

 

Dobes 5-0

Montembeault 5-3-1

Beck 2-0