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Showing content with the highest reputation on 07/02/23 in all areas

  1. Okay, I tried to make sense of the celebrated confusing conditions in the trade we made with Calgary to take on Monahan and his contract. I think the following description is correct, please feel free to correct me. Corrected now to give the correct conditions in the "Key decision point". I'm also interested to see which scenario will actually happen. Which do you believe will come to pass? Which are you rooting for? First decision: If Calgary finishes 2023-2024 season and playoffs as one of the 13 best teams, i.e., if Calgary is picking in 2024 between 20th and 32nd, we can choose to take that pick. [I don't see this happening.] Let's suppose the above doesn't happen. Then we get a 1st round pick in either 2025 or 2026 from either Calgary or Florida. It will almost surely be a 2025 1st rounder. There is only one scenario where we get a 2026 1st round pick (I'll call this case B(ii)). The only way we would get a 2026 1st rounder is if: We don't get the 2024 pick (very likely) and Florida's 2025 first rounder does not go to Calgary (see below why this might happen) and Calgary wins the 2025 lottery getting the 2025 #1 overall (very unlikely). If this remote scenario comes to pass, we would get the better of Calgary's and Florida's 2026 1st round pick and also would get Calgary's 2025 3rd round pick. This is extremely unlikely. So we probably get a 2025 first rounder which would be from either Florida or Calgary. Key decision point: Either (A) Florida’s 2024 first-rounder is not top 10 [and then it goes to Philadelphia for Claude Giroux ]AND Florida’s 2025 first-round pick is also not top 10 then Calgary gets Florida’s 2025 first-round pick (from the Matthew Tkachuk trade) or (B) One of Florida’s 2024 and 2025 first rounder is top 10 then Florida’s 2025 first-round pick does not go to Calgary (and so they can't give it to us). If Florida's 2024 first rounder is top 10 then they keep it instead of giving it to Philly. Philly instead gets Florida's 2025 first pick and so Calgary gets Florida's 2026 first rounder. If Florida's 2025 first rounder is top 10 and they already paid Philly then Florida keeps their own 2025 first rounder and Calgary gets Florida's first pick in 2026. If A happens then Calgary gets Florida's 2025 1st round pick (and might give it to us). If B happens then Calgary gets Florida's 2026 1st round pick (instead of Florida's 2025 1st rounder). Next both A and B have subcases: (A) Florida's 2025 1st rounder is transferred to Calgary and (i) Calgary earns a top 10 ten pick (after the lottery) in 2025: We get Florida's 2025 1st rounder (which will be in the range 11-32). (A) Florida's 2025 1st rounder is transferred to Calgary and (ii) Calgary's 2025 (after the lottery) pick is 11th-32nd. We get the better of the Calgary/Florida 2025 1st round pick (both of which will be in the range 11-32) . (B) Florida misses the 2025 playoffs and (i) Calgary's 2025 pick (after the lottery) is 2nd-32nd: We get Calgary's 2025 1st rounder. (B) Florida misses the 2025 playoffs and (ii) Calgary's 2025 pick is 1st overall (after the lottery). We are in the unlikely case described above: We get a 2026 1st rounder and Calgary's 2025 3rd rounder as described above. There is also a chance to get a 4th rounder in case B(i) (i.e., if Calgary does not get Florida's 2025 1st rounder) and if both Florida’s and Calgary's 2025 1st round pick are 11th-32nd, and Florida's pick is better than Calgary's and Florida's pick was transferred to another team [i.e., to Philadelphia] due to prior conditions, then we also get Calgary’s 2025 4th round pick.
    2 points
  2. If Matheson can continue, you thank your luck and keep him. Praying he doesn’t get hurt.
    2 points
  3. Any bonuses earned on ELCs wouldnt necessarily carry over to 2024. Anything we can fit under this years cap would count there first before the carryover penalty applies. If price is Ltir. No bonuses can fit under cap and they will all go to 2024-25 as a cap penalty of earned.
    1 point
  4. Matheson is awesome. Keep him.
    1 point
  5. It is complicated and I spent some time going through it a few days ago. Your description is pretty good. I found the following link with a chart pretty good. https://montrealhockeynow.com/2022/08/19/breaking-down-all-conditions-in-monahan-trade/ The way I see it, the best scenario is the following; 1) Florida finishes bottom 10 next year so they keep their 1st round pick next year (Philly gets their 2025 pick, Calgary will get their 2026 pick instead) 2) Calgary sucks in 2025, gets the #2 pick after the lottery in which case Montreal drafts #2 overall in 2025. If Calgary finishes with the #1 pick then Montreal gets their 2026 pick That's the way I see it. It can make your brain hurt trying to figure it out.
    1 point
  6. Yes, as much as i hated his soft play, he is skilled in the offensive zone for sure and am sure Aves will be more than happy with value and production. Masterton trophy candidate he could be.
    1 point
  7. If they can stay out of LTIR, they avoid the bonuses achieved in 2023-24 being rolled over into 2024-25. For example, the Habs' players hit $1.17M in bonuses in 2022-23. Because they were in LTIR, that entire amount is being deducted from Montreal's cap space in 2023-24.
    1 point
  8. This morning, I get a text from a goalie coach and asked if my son could fill in this afternoon for an hour. I wasn't able to take him, but my wife did. It ended up basically being a 1-1 lesson with Peter Budaj. Pretty neat, and a fun little tie in to this former Habs thread. My son was thrilled, and called me on the drive home.
    1 point
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